At 18:31 14/03/2020, Greg Dropkin wrote:
>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herd_immunity
>R0 = 2.35 before travel restrictions
>1-1/R0 = 1.35/2.35 = 0.6 roughly
Thanks, but I'm a little confused by this. Can such a simple
mathematical approach be assumed to 'work' with any pathogen,
particularly one of which we have no prior experience in humans?
The assumption of that calculation seems to be that everyone who is
infected will develop effective and lasting immunity, but that is
surely not the case with all pathogens?
Kind Regards,
John
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