At 12:45 09/03/2020, Greg Dropkin wrote:
>I expect there's more to it: ..... i.e. on this small sample, death
>rate is not simply explained by age structure. .... my guess is
>that it is also something to do with poverty and the state of
>the healthcare system.
Indeed, and probably dozens of other factors, few of which we have
any data about, and some of which we probably haven't even thought of.
With the relatively small numbers of deaths in countries other than
China, I don't think we would have much hope in determining which
were the main contributors out of those 'dozens of factors', even if
we did have the knowledge and data!
The data from China obviously involves a number of deaths which is
much more amenable to study, and seems to indicate a fairly clear
relationship between death rate and age. Also of interest is that
the Chinese data appears to indicate a death rate across all ages of
0.9% in those without co-morbidities (as compared with 3-4% overall),
confirming that (as one would expect) co-morbidities are another major fact.
Indeed, other than for China, I have yet to see any data relating to
co-morbidities in those who have died - and I would not be surprised
if the situation was that the death rate in 'otherwise fit' people
(of any age) is very low in most countries.
Kind Regards,
John
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