I saw this article too - I think it's excellent and also blogged that:
* https://www.andreimorgan.net/posts/Covid19/
There are also some links to twitter threads by Italian medical staff
describing the situation they're in. I hope to post more in the days
that come, but not sure how much time I'll have.
Best wishes,
-- Andrei
On Fri, Mar 13, 2020 at 08:08:05AM +0000, jay ginn wrote:
> Theres lots of maths here, comparing countries by their policy reaction and distinguishing officially known cases and (with hindsight) actual cases to predict connection between rapidity of lockdown and whether rise in cases is exponential, as well as eventual death rates. the conclusion is that early lockdown saves lives.
>
> https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
>
> * Disclaimer: i cant personally verify the figures, the reasoning or the conclusion
>
> Jay
> Dr Jay Ginn
>
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--
Andrei Morgan MRCPCH, MSc, PhD (Epidemiology / Neonatology)
https://www.andreimorgan.net
Honorary Clinical Lecturer,
Department of Neonatology,
Institute for Women's Health,
University College London
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