people are also going to die during the lockdown, if my forecast is even
remotely close. The questions which Paul is not asking are:
A) If there is no lockdown, could the NHS cope?
B) If the answer to A) is "no", can the NHS cope if there is a lockdown?
C) If the answer to B) is "yes" or at least "maybe", how long does the
lockdown need to last in order for the NHS to be able cope, not just
during the lockdown itself but with the aftermath until the next lockdown?
Although I am more than willing to assign blame, these questions are not
about that.
Greg
> Here are some hard questions:
>
> 1) We are sacrificing the economy to get people on ventilators. How many
> on
> ventilators are actually saved from death?
>
> 2) Our system now is that we all sit in our houses with our heads in a
> closet, and wait for the Food, Wine, and Amazon Package Fairies to deliver
> things to us. Our rent will be paid by the Rent Fairy. How long does the
> United Collective of Food, Wine and Rent Fairies promise to provide stuff?
>
> 3) We are "flattening the curve". However, this has morphed. We now define
> "flattening the curve" as "waiting for a vaccine". When you "flatten the
> curve", you eventually agree that a) we go back to work b) some get sick
> c)
> there is capacity in hospitals to treat the sick d) some still die.
>
> Are we in agreement about the meaning of "flatten the curve"? It appears
> to
> me that "flatten the curve" means "wait for the virus to stop making
> people
> sick". That is not going to happen, folks. People are going to get sick,
> and they are going to die. Regardless of how long we depend on the Food,
> Wine and Rent Fairies to provide for our every need.
>
> Paul A. Thompson
>
> ******************************************************
> Please note that if you press the 'Reply' button your
> message will go only to the sender of this message.
> If you want to reply to the whole list, use your mailer's
> 'Reply-to-All' button to send your message automatically
> to [log in to unmask]
> Disclaimer: The messages sent to this list are the views of the sender and
> cannot be assumed to be representative of the range of views held by
> subscribers to the Radical Statistics Group. To find out more about
> Radical Statistics and its aims and activities and read current and past
> issues of our newsletter you are invited to visit our web site
> www.radstats.org.uk.
> *******************************************************
>
******************************************************
Please note that if you press the 'Reply' button your
message will go only to the sender of this message.
If you want to reply to the whole list, use your mailer's
'Reply-to-All' button to send your message automatically
to [log in to unmask]
Disclaimer: The messages sent to this list are the views of the sender and cannot be assumed to be representative of the range of views held by subscribers to the Radical Statistics Group. To find out more about Radical Statistics and its aims and activities and read current and past issues of our newsletter you are invited to visit our web site www.radstats.org.uk.
*******************************************************
|