No - now that we are the delay phase there won’t be contact tracing in the same way as there was during contain.
> On 14 Mar 2020, at 10:50, Greg Dropkin <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
> nhse says policy is now to test suspected cases in hospital only
>
> are contacts then traced for each identified case?
>
> Greg
>
>> Why not?
>> 1st 400 Uk cases had massive contact tracking
>> Should not be hard to find out who got it, and if cases follow sensible
>> predictions according to degree of contact
>> How might one get hold of such data that NHS has
>> Could be anonymised by type of contact, e.g. lives in same house, works in
>> same place, attended same meeting, shared travel. Sexual partner might be
>> embarrassing
>> best
>> Diana
>>
>> On 14 Mar 2020, at 09:05, Martin Rathfelder
>> <[log in to unmask]<mailto:[log in to unmask]>>
>> wrote:
>>
>>
>> The other thing we dont know is how many people are immune. I understand
>> in principle we could find out, but we cant do so now.
>>
>> On 14/03/2020 03:07, John Whittington wrote:
>> At 02:40 14/03/2020, Thomas Cox wrote:
>> that sounds like an early scene in every disaster movie ever made...
>>
>> It's interesting, and it does make one wonder. Alien though the
>> suggestion may be to statisticians, I wonder if the 'number of cases' is
>> actually of all that much practical (rather than academic) importance,
>> particularly given that any attempted measures/estimates of it are always
>> going to be very inaccurate.
>>
>> What actually matters in practical terms are the number of individuals
>> requiring hospitalisation, the number requiring intensive care and the
>> number requiring social care/support etc., together with the number of
>> deaths. Those are all things that we can fairly easily determine, with
>> reasonable accuracy, and we can plot graphs of them and attempt to model
>> their changes etc. (so as to facilitate forecasts/predictions, just as we
>> can with 'cases'.
>>
>> If anything I suggest is 'controversial', I suspect the above may be :-)
>>
>> In case it's of interest, the advice now being given by the NHS to UK
>> citizens is:
>>
>>
>> Stay at home for 7 days if you have either:
>> · a high temperature – you feel hot to touch on your
>> chest or back
>> · a new, continuous cough – this means you've started
>> coughing repeatedly
>> Do not go to a GP surgery, pharmacy or hospital.
>> You do not need to contact 111 to tell them you're staying at home.
>> Testing for coronavirus is not needed if you're staying at home.
>>
>> Urgent advice:Use the NHS 111 online coronavirus service if:
>> · you feel you cannot cope with your symptoms at home
>> · your condition gets worse
>> · your symptoms do not get better after 7 days
>> Only call 111 if you cannot get help online.
>>
>> Kind Regards,
>>
>>
>> John
>>
>> ----------------------------------------------------------------
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>> [log in to unmask]<mailto:[log in to unmask]>
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