At 01:47 17/07/2016 +0000, Wells, Julian wrote:
>The reported interpretation of the first chart might charitably be
>described as over-stating the case; as inspection shows, low income
>opponents of capital punishment appear twice as likely to have voted Leave
>as their high-income counterparts.
True (albeit a bit less than "twice"). However, if you were approaching
this from a different viewpoint, you could have pointed out that income had
relatively little association with the probability of voting Leave amongst
strong supporters of capital punishment (ratio about 1.1).
Perhaps of interest is the fact that the probability of voting Leave
appeared identical for low- and high-income 'moderate opponents' of capital
punishment, and very close for those two income groups in those who were
neutral on the capital punishment issue.
If one plots probability of voting Leave against income for each of the
levels of opposition/agreement with capital punishment, one might get a
somewhat different "impression" of the data.
Kind Regards,
John
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