At 13:29 19/09/2020, David Gordon wrote:
>.... So a ballpark estimate of the recorded cases to
>infections ratio is about 1 in 3 at the moment BUT the test system
>is being overwhelmed so give is another few weeks and your original
>guesstimate of 1 in 10 may not be far from the truth!?
I don't think that we will ever be able to more than guess have many
'actual cases' there were back in March/April, hence the ratio of
reported cases (positive test) to actual cases, be that 1 in 10 or whatever.
However, I think it inconceivable that the ratio could now (or any
time in the future) become remotely as high as it was back then, when
we were essentially only testing those already seriously ill with
probable Covid-19 infection.
Kind Regards,
John
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