Here is a response I received from one of my colleagues, Dr. Jon Ebbert who is actively performing research in the area of Smoking cessation .
I hope it helps.
"The best estimates will be in the American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study 1: 12 Year Follow-up of 1 Million Men and Women. This is online here:
http://cancercontrol.cancer.gov/tcrb/monographs/8/m8_3.pdf
This is no better source for never smokers than this data - all subsequent publications on this in the UK and US refer back to this data. Realize that this is mortality data but since mortality is so close to incidence for lung cancer, people generally accept this as reasonable estimates of incidence."
Best wishes,
Amit K. Ghosh
General Internal Medicine
Mayo Clinic
Rochester, Minnesota,
USA
> ----------
> From: Doggett, David[SMTP:[log in to unmask]]
> Reply To: Doggett, David
> Sent: Tuesday, November 18, 2003 8:31 AM
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: Lung cancer probabilities
>
> Does anyone know where to find these probabilities?
>
> P(lung cancer | smoker)
> P(lung cancer | non-smoker)
>
> Thanks,
>
> David L. Doggett, Ph.D.
> Senior Medical Research Analyst
> Health Technology Assessment and Information Service
> ECRI, a non-profit health services research organization
> 5200 Butler Pike
> Plymouth Meeting, PA, USA 19462
> Phone: (610) 825-6000 x5509, FAX (610) 825-6834
> e-mail [log in to unmask]
>
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