The UK's scientific advice is primarily coming from Imperial College.
You can find more their COVID-19 reports, plus links to other major
centres around the world.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/covid-19-information/
Their Report 9, published yesterday and available in multiple languages,
refers to a microsimulation model. They updated this model with new data
from Italy, and this has already led to the UK government changing its
policy on social distancing from that given last week. (The schools are
still open, though.)
Given the emailed comments earlier on using system dynamics models and
on the growth rate suggesting the effects of social network structure
(difficult to simulate in SD, of course), I can foresee there are going
to be lots of papers in future on how the various modelling approaches
compared during the crisis.
Christopher
--
This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software.
https://www.avast.com/antivirus
########################################################################
To unsubscribe from the SIMSOC list, click the following link:
https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/webadmin?SUBED1=SIMSOC&A=1
|