Dear Ken,
Thanks for your message and question.
As this is a research issue, epistemologically accuracy is important. This also applies to your question.
I claim there are quantitative methods such as system dynamics that model and predict behaviours in and of complex dynamic social, technical and ecological systems with multiple feedback loops and do so to sufficient precision to be of use by designers.
I also claim system dynamics methods can be used by designers, and are used by designers in several realms.
I claim there are also a variety of other predictive methods that model and predict behaviours in and of complex dynamic social, technical and ecological systems with multiple feedback loops in addition to system dynamics, and that any of these can be easily used by designers.
Further, I claim there are other systems tools, some of which I've devised, that enable planning of design strategies by designers andmanagers for controlling and managing some of the most extremely complex dynamic social, technical and ecological systems with multiple feedback loops and do so to sufficient precision to be of use by designers, managers and others.
My own strategy is to integrate the above predictive and intervention methods for complex socio-technical and ecological systems into design activity.
Predicting design activity is a different issue from what I have described and proposed in relation to the above.
Predicting design activity is, however, clearly possible to some extent in many situations because it, and automation of design, has been achieved in many design realms.
But you could have read all this in my previous posts to phd-design, my blog articles, papers and books, which are all readily available open source.
My delay in replying to your messages is there are a couple of other issues in them that I want to address that involve relatively new analyses and it was more important to address other things first. Your posts will keep.
Regards,
Terry
--
Dr Terence Love
PhD (UWA), B.A. (Hons) Engin, PGCE. FDRS, AMIMechE, MISI
Director,
Love Services Pty Ltd
PO Box 226, Quinns Rocks Western Australia 6030
Tel: +61 (0)4 3497 5848
Fax:+61 (0)8 9305 7629
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-----Original Message-----
From: [log in to unmask] [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Ken Friedman
Sent: Sunday, 7 December 2014 4:54 PM
To: PhD-Design
Subject: A question for Terry Love
Dear Terry,
You’ve taken the time to acknowledge the other replies and to say that you’d answer the several questions placed before you, but you did not respond to my question.
I asked a question that you can easily answer. Your replies to several people leave the answer open and ambiguous. With respect to some replies, the answer seems to be “yes.” With respect to others, the answer seems to be “no.”
It seems to me that you have repeatedly made this claim:
There is a workable quantitative method for modelling design that accounts for complex dynamic systems with multiple loops of action and behaviour in a predictable way.
Do you believe that this is so or do you not?
This question goes to your beliefs and your claims, not to your reasoning. I will welcome your answer. If you want to elaborate your answer, I’ll be happy to read what you have to say. For now, I am asking a simple question, phrasing it in my words. The answer I’d welcome is the answer to this precise question:
Do you claim that there exists today a workable quantitative method for modelling design that accounts for complex dynamic systems with multiple loops of action and behaviour in a predictable way?
Yes or no.
You call for straight writing in plain language. I will welcome a clear, straight answer in plain words.
Yours,
Ken
Ken Friedman, PhD, DSc (hc), FDRS | Editor-in-Chief | 设计 She Ji. The Journal of Design, Economics, and Innovation | Published by Elsevier in Cooperation with Tongji University Press | Launching in 2015
Chair Professor of Design Innovation Studies | College of Design and Innovation | Tongji University | Shanghai, China ||| University Distinguished Professor | Centre for Design Innovation | Swinburne University of Technology | Melbourne, Australia
Email [log in to unmask] | Academia http://swinburne.academia.edu/KenFriedman | D&I http://tjdi.tongji.edu.cn
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