THE CAMBRIDGE STATISTICS DISCUSSION GROUP
PLEASE NOTE SLIGHTLY LATER START TIME
Monday 10th May 2010 7:30 for 8:00
Amgen Ltd,
Cambridge Science Park,
Milton Road,
Cambridge CB4 0WG
Harmless Pastime or Serious Science?
What does Phenology tell us about the Impacts of a Changing Climate?
Tim Sparks
Posnan University of Life Sciences
Abstract:
Phenology, the study of the timing of natural events, is a pastime with
a considerable history. Once considered the harmless activity of a
select few country gentlemen and clerics, is has now taken on a new
importance since its value as (probably) the oldest written biological
record has been recognised. Britain possesses a huge wealth of
phenological data. Some of these are easily obtained, but much more
resides in obscure and dusty journals, notebooks and diaries. In this
talk I describe data from a range of historical and contemporary
sources, demonstrate how these have responded to inter-annual variations
in temperature and discuss the consequences of climate warming on the
timing of our seasons.
Speaker:
Tim Sparks gained his statistical qualifications via the IoS route
before taking masters degrees in Applied Statistics and in Operational
Research followed by a PhD in Environmental Sciences. He worked at NIAB
from 1978 to 1989, and at the Monks Wood Research Station from 1991
until its closure in 2009. He is currently a visiting professor with the
Poznan University of Life Sciences and with the University of Liverpool,
a research associate with the University of Cambridge and in June starts
an association with the Technical University of Munich.
Directions: Head north on Milton Road. Two traffic lights before the A14
turn
left into the Science Park (clearly signposted). Turn left at the
roundabout.
The meeting takes place at Amgen in the restaurant in building 214 (the
ground floor of the middle building on the map at
http://imaging.mrc-cbu.cam.ac.uk/statswiki/csdg/amgen).
Parking is available on site. There will be no admittance after 8pm.
Arrivals after 8pm can gain admittance by contacting the secretary on
07761769436.
If anyone would like complementary transport to the talk venue from
Central Cambridge please inform the secretary in advance of the meeting.
Provisional Next Meeting:
19th October – Martin Gibson (Formerly EMC Europe, Director of Lean Six
Sigma) on
‘The good, the bad and the ugly of Lean Six Sigma’.
Supper: Some members eat regularly in the University Centre before
each talk meeting in the downstairs bar at 5-45pm. Feel free to join them.
Subscriptions: of 1 pound are now due for attending the 2009-2010 session.
Secretary: Peter Watson, MRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit,
15 Chaucer Road, Cambridge CB2 7EF;telephone 01223 355294 Extension 801;
E-mail [log in to unmask]
Take a look at our website:
http://www.mrc-cbu.cam.ac.uk/people/peter.watson/csdg.html
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Peter Watson
MRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit
15 Chaucer Road
Cambridge
CB2 7EF
http://www.mrc-cbu.cam.ac.uk
http://www.mrc-cbu.cam.ac.uk/people/peter.watson/
Phone: DIRECT DIAL 1223 273712
+44 1223 355294 x801
Fax: + 44 1223 359062
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