terry responds to tracee:
The only option proven to work in these complex design situations is
mathematically-based predictive modeling. This mathematically-based modeling
is used in order that the designer can 'see' the future of potential design
changes via changing parameters in the model and rerunning it to see what
happens.
As a professional practice in this realm of complex design situations,
methods such as 'helping designers ask questions that will give interesting
results' rather than using modeling to understand the complex design
situation would seem to be exposing them to increased risk of litigation?
i'd say:
we more likely tackle complex problems by analyzing them into orthogonal dimensions, assign each to different teams and deal with the interactions among these dimensions in communication (negotiation and participatory design) among these teams. of course, everyone uses the tools available to them, including computer models.
but predictive mathematical models do not build cities, do not bring a human to the moon and back -- but interesting visions translated into productive questions on how to realize these visions may lead to solutions of complex design situations
klaus
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