http://news.independent.co.uk/environment/article348196.ece

 Armed forces are put on standby to tackle threat of wars over water

 By Ben Russell, and Nigel Morris
Published: 28 February 2006

Across the world, they are coming: the water wars. From Israel to India, 
from Turkey to Botswana, arguments are going on over disputed water 
supplies that may soon burst into open conflict.

Yesterday, Britain's Defence Secretary, John Reid, pointed to the factor 
hastening the violent collision between a rising world population and a 
shrinking world water resource: global warming.

In a grim first intervention in the climate-change debate, the Defence 
Secretary issued a bleak forecast that violence and political conflict 
would become more likely in the next 20 to 30 years as climate change 
turned land into desert, melted ice fields and poisoned water supplies.

Climate campaigners echoed Mr Reid's warning, and demanded that 
ministers redouble their efforts to curb carbon emissions.

Tony Blair will today host a crisis Downing Street summit to address 
what he called "the major long-term threat facing our planet", 
signalling alarm within Government at the political consequences of 
failing to deal with the spectre of global warming.

Activists are modelling their campaign on last year's Make Poverty 
History movement in the hope of creating immense popular pressure for 
action on climate change.

Mr Reid used a speech at Chatham House last night to deliver a stark 
assessment of the potential impact of rising temperatures on the 
political and human make-up of the world. He listed climate change 
alongside the major threats facing the world in future decades, 
including international terrorism, demographic changes and global energy 
demand.

Mr Reid signalled Britain's armed forces would have to be prepared to 
tackle conflicts over dwindling resources. Military planners have 
already started considering the potential impact of global warming for 
Britain's armed forces over the next 20 to 30 years. They accept some 
climate change is inevitable, and warn Britain must be prepared for 
humanitarian disaster relief, peacekeeping and warfare to deal with the 
dramatic social and political consequences of climate change.

Mr Reid warned of increasing uncertainty about the future of the 
countries least well equipped to deal with flooding, water shortages and 
valuable agricultural land turning to desert.

He said climate change was already a contributory factor in conflicts in 
Africa.

Mr Reid said: "As we look beyond the next decade, we see uncertainty 
growing; uncertainty about the geopolitical and human consequences of 
climate change.

"Impacts such as flooding, melting permafrost and desertification could 
lead to loss of agricultural land, poisoning of water supplies and 
destruction of economic infrastructure.

"More than 300 million people in Africa currently lack access to safe 
water; climate change will worsen this dire situation."

He added: "These changes are not just of interest to the geographer or 
the demographer; they will make scarce resources, clean water, viable 
agricultural land even scarcer.

"Such changes make the emergence of violent conflict more rather than 
less likely... The blunt truth is that the lack of water and 
agricultural land is a significant contributory factor to the tragic 
conflict we see unfolding in Darfur. We should see this as a warning sign."

Tony Juniper, the executive director of Friends of the Earth, said: "The 
science of global warming is becoming ever more certain about the scale 
of the problem we have, and now the implications of that for security 
and politics is beginning to emerge."

He said the problems could be most acute in the Middle East and North 
Africa.

Charlie Kornick, head of climate campaigning at the pressure group 
Greenpeace, said billions of people faced pressure on water supplies due 
to climate change across Africa, Asia and South America. He said: "If 
politicians realise how serious the problems could be, why are British 
CO2 emissions still going up?"

Tony Blair will be joined by the Chancellor Gordon Brown, the 
Environment Secretary, Margaret Beckett, and the International 
Development Secretary, Hilary Benn, at today's talks in Downing Street.

They will be meeting representatives of the recently created Stop 
Climate Chaos, an alliance of environmental groups including Greenpeace, 
Friends of the Earth and Oxfam. It will also meet opposition parties.

The alliance will call for the Government to commit itself to achieving 
a 3 per cent annual fall in carbon dioxide emissions.

The facts

* On our watery planet, 97.5 per cent of water is salt water, unfit for 
human use.

* Most of the fresh water is locked in the ice caps.

* The recommended basic water requirement per person per day is 50 
litres. But people can get by with about 30 litres: 5 litres for food 
and drink and another 25 for hygiene.

* Some countries use less than 10 litres per person per day. Gambia uses 
4.5, Mali 8, Somalia 8.9, and Mozambique 9.3.

* By contrast the average US citizen uses 500 litres per day, and the 
British average is 200.

* In the West, it takes about eight litres to brush our teeth, 10 to 35 
litres to flush a lavatory, and 100 to 200 litres to take a shower.

* The litres of water needed to produce a kilo of:

Potatoes 1,000

Maize 1,400

Wheat 1,450

Chicken 4,600

Beef 42,500

Mike McCarthy