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RADSTATS  2005

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Subject:

Re: PUBLIC CONFIDENCE IN BRITISH OFFICIAL STATISTICS[Scanned]

From:

Paul Bivand <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Paul Bivand <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 4 Mar 2005 10:07:12 -0000

Content-Type:

text/plain

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The best you can expect are backhanded comments about a 'particularly effective campaign' viz the Unemployment Unit on unemployment statistics. 

That required regular press releases every month for years.

ONS also seem to have the view that nothing not published in an accepted peer-reviewed journal exists (and maybe only a restricted selection of such), and therefore 'grey' literature cannot be cited. The only exceptions to this are publications by other national statistics offices.

---------------------------------------------------------
Paul Bivand
Head of Analysis and Statistics
Direct Line: 020 7840 8335

Inclusion
3rd floor, 89 Albert Embankment, London SE1 7TP
Tel: 020 7582 7221
Fax: 020 7582 6391
Inclusion website: www.cesi.org.uk
Welfare to Work website: www.w2w.org.uk

The contents of this e-mail and any attachment(s) are intended solely for the use of the addressee. If you are not the intended recipient please return the e-mail to the sender and delete from your mailbox.
The contents of this e-mail and any attachment(s) are intended solely for the use of the addressee.



-----Original Message-----
From: Ray Thomas [mailto:[log in to unmask]]
Sent: 04 March 2005 10:02
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: Re: PUBLIC CONFIDENCE IN BRITISH OFFICIAL STATISTICS[Scanned]


Yes, lack of acknowledgment of the work of Radstats and other investigators seems to have become a well established pattern.    Another example is the ignoring of the Sheffield Hallam work  'The Real Level of Unemployment' about the growth of sickness benefit that was published in 1999.   The ONS/GSS strenuously attacked use of the term 'real unemployment' - without acknowledgment of the Sheffield Hallam group or the context in which they used the term.   Today Blair is fighting the phenomenon that Sheffield Hallam uncovered six years ago.   And according to the Hallam people reported in today's Guardian, Blair is not getting support from the ONS in this area.

The situation appears to be akin to the identification of 'The Establishment' many decades ago.    The Establishment dealt with problems by denying them.   The Statistical Establishment has long included the Royal Statistical Society whose primary function has become to defend the interests of professional statististicians - including those in the GSS.  Now the Statistical Establishment seems to have reached out beyond the ONS and GSS to encompass the Statistics Commission.

Both the ONS and the SC claim independence from Government and from each other.  They do not see any irony in collaborating on a report addressed to public confidence in statistics.   

Their joint report promises further surveys of public confidence and development of a strategy aimed at building confidence in official statistics.   See 
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/about/data/public_confidence/downloads/BritishOfficialStat.pdf
There is no hint of a strategy to deal with specific concerns about official statistics.   As the message from Richard Aldritt spells out, confidence in official statististics is seen as something belonging to 'influential people' not anything to do with statistics.

Ray Thomas
35 Passmore, Tinkers Bridge, Milton Keynes MK6 3DY
Email: [log in to unmask]
Tel/Fax 01908 679081  

----- Original Message ----- 
From: Macfarlane, Alison 
To: [log in to unmask] 
Sent: Thursday, March 03, 2005 4:25 PM
Subject: Re: PUBLIC CONFIDENCE IN BRITISH OFFICIAL STATISTICS




It may be, however, that people may be reluctant to acknowledge use of our work. The group at York Health Economics Consortium, which did the work on official health statistics for the Commission rang me up at an early stage when its staff without much previous experience in the field were having difficulty in locating official health statistics. I pointed out that Radstats had published an 'unofficial guide' on the subject and person told me that they already knew about it and were making heavy use of it. I was therefore disappointed that they did not feel it necessary to acknowledge or even reference it in their report for the Commission.
Alison 
-----Original Message----- 
From: Ray Thomas [mailto:[log in to unmask]] 
Sent: 03 March 2005 14:59 
To: [log in to unmask] 
Subject: Fw: PUBLIC CONFIDENCE IN BRITISH OFFICIAL STATISTICS 


A REPLY FROM THE STATISTICS COMMISSION 
It seems that having a website, an email discussion list, a journal, 
organising an annual conference and producing several books is not enough 
for Radstats to be considered 'influential' in matters related to public 
confidence in statistics. 
The Statistics Commission list of individuals who are considered influential 
is given below. 
********************************** 


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Richard Alldritt" <[log in to unmask]> 
To: "Ray Thomas" <[log in to unmask]> 
Cc: "maryanne.kelly" <[log in to unmask]> 
Sent: Thursday, March 03, 2005 12:40 PM 
Subject: RE: PUBLIC CONFIDENCE IN BRITISH OFFICIAL STATISTICS 


Dear Ray - many thanks for your interest.  Copies of the Commission's 
report on the interviews with opinion-formers are available and we can 
send hard copies if you wish.   I wouldn't make any huge claims for our 
part of this work.  We wanted to know what influential people really 
thought and we think we have obtained a good impression of that.  But 
the people interviewed by MORI on our behalf (list below) cannot be 
seen as a representative sample, whether or not a Radstats member was 
included.  What did come through strongly though was that whilst many of 
the interviewees were generally positive about UK official statistics, 
they also wanted better arrangements to ensure independence and 
responsiveness to public needs.  So the research lent weight to the 
assumptions the Commission was already making about the user perspective 
and public trust. 
As far as Radstats itself is concerned, the Commission regards it as a 
welcome, active voice on the important issues surrounding official 
statistics. 
Best wishes 
Richard 
Richard Alldritt 
Chief Executive 
Statistics Commission 
10 Great George Street 
London SW1P 3AE 
020 7273 8008 
[log in to unmask] 
www.statscom.org.uk 
The Statistics Commission is independent of Ministers and of the 
producers of official statistics.  It operates openly and transparently. 


Statistics Commission.  .  PERCEPTIONS REPORT INTERVIEWEES:.  .  Dr Bob 
Barr, University of Manchester.  Nigel Beard MP.  Sir Sandy Bruce-Lockhart, 
Local Government Association.  Robert Chote, Institute for Fiscal Studies. 
Evan Davis, BBC.  Professor Ian Diamond, Economic and Social Research 
Council.  Andrew Dilnot, St Hugh's College Oxford.  Michael Fallon MP. 
Professor Harvey Goldstein, Institute of Education.  Sir Andrew Green, 
Migrationwatch UK.  Anne Harrop, Joseph Rowntree Foundation.  Professor Tim 
Holt, University of Southampton.  Jenny Hope, The Daily Mail.  Baron Jenkin. 
Alistair Johnston, KPMG.  Professor Roger Jowell, City University.  Trevor 
Kavanagh, The Sun.  Peter Kellner, YouGov.  Ian McCafferty, CBI.  Lord 
McIntosh.  Baroness Murphy, North East London Strategic Health Authority. 
Mark Oaten MP.  Sir Robert Phillis, Government Communications Review. 
Howard Reed, Institute for Public Policy Research.  David Smith, The Sunday 
Times.  Pam Smith, Commission for Racial Equality.  James Strachan, Audit 
Commission.  Professor Colin Talbot, University of Nottingham.  Richard 
Thomas, UK Information Commissioner.  Professor Tony Travers, London School 
of Economics and Political Science.  Adair Turner, Merrill Lynch.  Paul 
Wallace, The Economist.  David Walker, The Guardian.  James Westhead, BBC. 
Karl Wilding, National Council for Voluntary Organisations.  Stephen Yeo, 
Watson & Wyatt. 
****************************************** 
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