If anyone can extract the bottom line from American Cancer Society Cancer
Prevention Study of 1 Million Men &Women
http://cancercontrol.cancer.gov/tcrb/monographs/8/m8_3.pdf
and send it to the rest of us, would be grateful -
ie what are the probabilities?
> P(lung cancer | smoker)
> P(lung cancer | non-smoker)
Dr Frances Gardner
University Lecturer in Evidence-Based Social Work
Honorary Clinical Psychologist
Department of Social Policy and Social Work
University of Oxford, 32 Wellington Sq, Oxford OX1 2ER, UK
tel 44 [0] 1865 270334/ 270325
fax 44 [0] 1865 270324
e-mail: [log in to unmask]
web: www.apsoc.ox.ac.uk
----- Original Message -----
From: "Ghosh, Amit K., M.D." <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Tuesday, November 18, 2003 8:05 PM
Subject: Re: Lung cancer probabilities
> Here is a response I received from one of my colleagues, Dr. Jon Ebbert
who is actively performing research in the area of Smoking cessation .
> I hope it helps.
>
> "The best estimates will be in the American Cancer Society Cancer
Prevention Study 1: 12 Year Follow-up of 1 Million Men and Women. This is
online here:
>
> http://cancercontrol.cancer.gov/tcrb/monographs/8/m8_3.pdf
>
> This is no better source for never smokers than this data - all subsequent
publications on this in the UK and US refer back to this data. Realize that
this is mortality data but since mortality is so close to incidence for lung
cancer, people generally accept this as reasonable estimates of incidence."
>
> Best wishes,
>
> Amit K. Ghosh
> General Internal Medicine
> Mayo Clinic
> Rochester, Minnesota,
> USA
>
>
>
> > ----------
> > From: Doggett, David[SMTP:[log in to unmask]]
> > Reply To: Doggett, David
> > Sent: Tuesday, November 18, 2003 8:31 AM
> > To: [log in to unmask]
> > Subject: Lung cancer probabilities
> >
> > Does anyone know where to find these probabilities?
> >
> > P(lung cancer | smoker)
> > P(lung cancer | non-smoker)
> >
> > Thanks,
> >
> > David L. Doggett, Ph.D.
> > Senior Medical Research Analyst
> > Health Technology Assessment and Information Service
> > ECRI, a non-profit health services research organization
> > 5200 Butler Pike
> > Plymouth Meeting, PA, USA 19462
> > Phone: (610) 825-6000 x5509, FAX (610) 825-6834
> > e-mail [log in to unmask]
> >
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