Those with a penchant for risk stuff will have seen the paper in last weeks
BMJ about modelling cumulative coronary risk.
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/320/7242/1134
I've had a shot at reproducing their results and don't get the same answers
in some areas. Partly that's because I think they make some small but
invalid assumptions ( like starting from age 15 which means 10% of their
hypothetical moderately high risk cohort have CHD by 35 when the Framingham
equation actually starts) . But there are other points as well. And of
course my arithmetic / programming may well be wrong
If anyone else is chewing this one over and wants to have a look at the way
I've modelled it please let me know off list. I sense a letter to the BMJ
but would rather have a second opinoin before making a complete a*** of
myself!
Cheers
Chris
Dr Chris Burton
Member of WestNet, the West of Scotland Primary Care Research Network
http://medicine21.com/heartGP
Chris
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