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Hi Jesús, In Brazil, we are suffering similar situation in the city of Salvador, where 20 people died (8 children). Our worst catastrophe in Mountain region of Rio de Janeiro showed the same logic that you described in the case of Guerreiro. More than 900 lives lost. Unfortunatelly, I don´t have good cases as Tijuana to show. But I am sure that we have it. Saludos, Victor On Tue, May 19, 2015 at 2:54 PM, Jesus M. Macias <[log in to unmask]> wrote: > The Orbach’s notion of predictable disaster ( > http://www.orbach.org/publications/) is interesting because it opens up > access to identification of responsibilities in the Government agents who > have obligation to ensure the safety of persons. The case of the landslides > is particularly important because it is phenomena that allow us to > anticipate whether there will be a condition of disaster for the > realization of this threat. This day I'm seeing two cases of landslides. > The case of Salgar, Colombia, requires specific research to learn about the > conditions in which the disastrous landslide occurred, but it is impossible > to accept the surprise or excessive rainfall as its explanation. There are > many Colombian experts and friends working in that direction and I’m sure > soon we will have interesting news about it. > > The other case is on Tijuana, Mexico. Yesterday there were an important > landslide in a populated neighborhood. More than 19 homes collapsed and no > dead or injured people resulted. Why? Three days before, people at risk in > that neighborhood, call government agents from civil protection municipal > unit in order to attend several cracks formed in the slope that they had > seen. Civil protection officials just did their job (exactly the job what > they are paid for) and the landslide was not a disaster. It was not the > case in Guadalajara in 1992, when the sewers exploded and people at risk in > the neighborhood asked for help a week before. It was not the case in 2013 > in La Pintada, Guerrero, México, where more than hundred people died in a > landslide occurred during the tropical cyclone called “Manuel”. It was not > the case in “Osso Mudslide”, USA, last year, and so. What Tijuana case > show us is the valuable voice of the people. > > https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=132&v=JiNEuLmwPLs > > Saludos cordiales > > Jesús Manuel > > >