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The Inaugural Barnett Lecture - Extreme value methods for environmental risks
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Thursday 05 November 2015, 5:00pm - 7:00pm
Location: Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London, EC1Y 8LX
Speaker: ProfJonathan Tawn (Lancaster University)
In many cases it is the extreme values of environmental processes that are of most interest,
for example from the mitigation of the loss of life and damage through to insuring against
these loses when they occur. Extreme value methods provide a framework for focusing inference
on such rare events.
I will present a brief overview of the key extreme value philosophy and methods that covers
the implications for both marginal and dependence structures. However, the focus of the talk
will be on the use of these methods in a range of substantive applications. In particular,
I will cover: UK coastal flooding; the UK largest shipping loss; temporal features of the
2003 European heatwave; spatial properties of the 2009 south-eastern Australia heatwave;
and determining the distribution of insurance losses from fluvial events in north-west England.
ALL WELCOME...but please register by email to [log in to unmask]
The lecture will be followed by a wine reception
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