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ALLSTAT  March 2012

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Subject:

RSS meeting on the International Crime Drop

From:

Chris Kershaw <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Chris Kershaw <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 3 Mar 2012 16:13:27 +0000

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (64 lines)

Royal Statistical Society
Meeting of the Social Statistics Sections
15th May 2012, 5pm
Royal Statistical Society, London.
12 Errol Street, London, EC1Y 8LX


 “The International Crime Drop”


A meeting of the Social Statistics Sections will take place on 15th
May 2012 at 5pm with tea/coffee from 4.30pm. Speakers are:


Nick Tilley, University College London
Andromachi Tseloni, Nottingham Trent University
Jan Van Dijk, Tilburg University, Netherlands


In the last ten to twenty years crime rates have dramatically and
unexpectedly fallen both in the UK and with few exceptions across the
western world. Rather surprisingly the international overall crime
drop continues to be a major puzzle in criminology. The generalised
nature of the drop and the variations in trend across different crimes
suggest that they have been triggered by changes in criminal
opportunities and routine activities that occurred cross-nationally
rather than changes in the criminal justice system or legislation
which by nature are limited within national boundaries.



The presentations will focus on important findings from a forthcoming
edited book on the crime drop and will draw on data from the
International Crime Victims Survey (ICVS) and other international data
sources include the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)
on homicide rates and the European Sourcebook on police recorded
rates. Observed and estimated crime rate trends will be presented and
their implications discussed. Dramatic changes in routine activities
in society that opened up crime opportunities and reduced risks
explained the crime increases since the Second World War. The same
perspective can also be applied to help explain the recent crime drops
as well as the variations in trend and their timing across different
crime types.



The session will be chaired by Chris Kershaw from the Home Office who
will also discuss some specific findings from England and Wales due to
be published in the book that may help to explain the divergence
between crime trends and some public attitudes. Allan  Brimicombe from
East London University, who is also chair of the Crime and Justice
Statistics Network, will act as the discussant. Attendance is free and
open to all, but pre-registration is recommended. You can register by
email [log in to unmask] or by phone (020) 7638 8998.  For further
information about the meeting contact Chris Kershaw
([log in to unmask]). For directions see
www.rss.org.uk/findus.

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