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ALLSTAT  March 2012

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Subject:

REMINDER: SEMINAR: RSS Manchester Local Group seminar on Wednesday 7th March 2012

From:

Richard Emsley <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Richard Emsley <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 5 Mar 2012 10:02:52 +0000

Content-Type:

text/plain

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A reminder about the next Royal Statistical Society Manchester Local Group meeting taking place this Wednesday.

---------------------------------------

Date:	Wednesday 7th March 2012

Time: 15.45 - 17.00

Venue: G.107 Alan Turing Building, Oxford Road, The University of Manchester

Dr Ian McHale
Salford Business School, University of Salford

"Statistical modelling of lottery player behaviour"

Is it possible for statisticians to use their skills to help win more on the lottery? The answer is yes and the reason it is possible is the phenomenon of conscious selection, the process by which some lottery players choose numbers non-randomly. This talk focuses on the consequences of, and the subsequent modelling of conscious selection. The models presented are used to compare lottery player behaviour in the UK and Spain, and I show that a lottery player is able to increase the expected value of their ticket by strategically choosing numbers which are less popular with other lottery players. Finally, I reveal what these numbers might be...
Tea/Coffee and Biscuits will be served from 15.30 on the first floor Atrium Bridge

All are welcome to attend.

For more information, please visit: http://www.rss-manchester.org/ 

----------------------------------------


Dr Richard Emsley
MRC Research Fellow,
Biostatistics, Health Sciences Research Group,
School of Community Based Medicine,
4.304 Jean McFarlane Building,
University of Manchester,
Oxford Road,
Manchester.  M13 9PL.
Tel:  0161 306 8002

Chairman, Royal Statistical Society Manchester Local Group
http://www.medicine.manchester.ac.uk/staff/RichardEmsley  

 

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