The 30th Fisher Memorial lecture will be given by Prof Philip Dawid on 10 November at 17:00 at the Isaac Newton Institute in Cambridge. It will be followed by a reception hosted by the Isaac Newton Institute http://www.newton.ac.uk/
Venue: Isaac Newton Institute,20 Clarkson Road, Cambridge, CB3 0EH, U.K, http://www.newton.ac.uk/travel.html
Date: 10 November
Time: 17:00-18:00
Title and abstract: see below
30th FISHER MEMORIAL LECTURE
Causal Inference from Experimental Data
A. P. Dawid
University of Cambridge
ABSTRACT
One of the greatest scientific advances of the 20th Century was not
substantive, but methodological: the laying out by Fisher of the
principles of sound experimentation, so allowing valid conclusions to be
drawn about the effects of interventions - what we must surely regard as
"causal inference". More recently "causal inference" has developed as a
major enterprise in its own right, with its own specialist formulations
and methods; however, these owe more to Neyman than to Fisher. In this
lecture I shall explore the connexions and contrasts between older and
newer ideas in causal inference, revisit an old argument between Fisher
and Neyman, and argue for the restructuring of modern theories of causal
inference along more Fisherian lines.
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