I clicked on www.gci.org.uk/briefings/FRED.pdf but got a message that it
wasn't on the server
Chris
Aubrey Meyer wrote:
> In the light of the list-feedback to 'the way ahead'
>
> and in view of the remarks made by
>
> Mrs Beckett,
> Sir David King and
> James Lovelock [Start the Week R4 09.00] this morning,
>
> under the heading:
>
> "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change"
>
> I am repeating my request to crisis-forum reader/writers to respond to
> the content of the briefing at: - www.gci.org.uk/briefings/FRED.pdf
> <http://www.gci.org.uk/briefings/FRED.pdf>
>
> specifically on the points concerning
>
> [1] the stock:flow relationship between emissions and concentrations
> of GHG.
>
> [2] the in/constancy of this relationship and its importance to C&C
> advocacy. The now aggravated rate of accumulation that seems to be
> coming about and the projection of this, is fundamental to this debate.
>
> The government scientists have known about this for at least a decade,
> yet it is only now that the government's position says: -
>
> [1] "the problem seems to be more serious than we preveiously said";
>
> [1] +/- 400 ppmv - which we reach in 10 years - is probably the
> atmospheric accumulation maxim under which we can hope to avoid
> dangerous rates of climate change
>
> [2] but we cannot hope for less than 550 ppmv [King]
>
> [3] nuclear power does not avoid dangerous climate change, but [if you
> are Jim Lovelock] it establishes a pocket of western civilization in
> the UK, where the lights remain on in an otherwise darkening world.
>
> Saying 'no/yes' to nuclear and yes to <> 550 ppmv is not a strategy,
> it is WASP delusions and mistaking the finger for the moon.
>
> [i.e. barking]
>
> Aubrey
>
> */Chris Church <[log in to unmask]>/* wrote:
>
> This is the news release about the book which has led to the
> current flurry
> of interest...
>
> 30/01/2006 12:48 Department for Environment, Food And Rural Affairs
> (National)
> HOW MUCH CLIMATE CHANGE CAN WE TAKE? - DEFRA LAUNCHES NEW BOOK
>
> Over the last year we have seen growing evidence of climate
> change. Indeed,
> statistics suggest that 2005 is the second warmest year on record.
> The
> Arctic sea ice shrank to its lowest extent last summer and
> devastating
> hurricanes show how sensitive even developed societies are to extreme
> weather.
>
> Temperatures are expected to continue to rise and extreme events
> are likely
> to become more frequent with climate change. But how much climate
> change can
> we take? How can we avoid levels which can be considered
> dangerous? The
> "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change" book, which is being launched
> today by
> Defra, explores these questions.
>
> The book gives an account of the most recent developments on the
> science of
> climate change, explores how much climate change is too much and
> how can we
> avoid it. It examines the consequences of different levels of
> climate change
> in terms of impacts for different sectors and regions, as well as
> the world
> as a whole. And it considers technological options that can be
> deployed to
> achieve different levels of climate change as the world moves to a
> lower
> carbon economy.
>
> The book builds on the scientific findings presented at the "Avoiding
> Dangerous Climate Change" conference, which took place at the Met
> Office,
> Exeter in February 2005 at the start of the UK's G8 Presidency.
>
> Prime Minister Tony Blair said the Exeter conference provided a
> scientific
> backdrop to the whole of the UK's G8 Presidency and the Summit at
> Gleneagles.
>
> Writing in the foreword of the book, Mr Blair said: "At the
> Gleneagles
> meeting the leaders of the G8 were able to agree on the importance of
> climate change, that human activity does contribute to it and that
> greenhouse gas emissions need to slow, peak and reverse. All G8
> countries
> agreed on the need to make substantial cuts in emissions and to
> act with
> resolve and urgency now.
>
> "This book will serve as more than a record of another conference
> or event.
> It will provide an invaluable resource for all people wishing to
> enhance
> global understanding of the science of climate change and the need
> for
> humanity to act to tackle the problem."
>
> Environment Secretary Margaret Beckett said: "I am very pleased
> that the
> book has been prepared in such a short time following the
> ground-breaking
> conference on Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change.
>
> "The conference provided an important scientific context for our
> G8 sessions
> last year and illustrates very clearly the urgency with which the
> world has
> to tackle climate change."
>
> Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, chief editor of the book,
> said: "We
> hope that this book will make a significant contribution to the
> scientific
> and policy debate on what constitutes dangerous climate change."
>
> Notes to Editors:
>
> 1 The book, "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change" has been prepared
> by an
> editorial board, led by Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, and is
> published by Cambridge University Press, price £70. More details are
> available at http://www.cambridge.org/0521864712 A pdf of the book
> will be
> available later today on the Defra website.
>
> 2 A document to go with the "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change
> Book" has
> today been released by Defra. It contains a foreword by Dennis
> Tirpak, chair
> of the conference international scientific steering committee and an
> executive summary of book. It can be found on the Defra website at
> http://www.defra.gov.uk/corporate/publications/pubcat/env.htm#climate
>
> 3 The book is being launched tonight at a reception at the Royal
> Society,
> where speakers will include David Vaughan, British Antarctica
> Survey; Carol
> Turley, Plymouth Marine Laboratory; Rachel Warren, University of
> East Anglia
> and Terry Barker, University of Cambridge.
>
> 4 The International Symposium on Stabilisation of Greenhouse Gas
> Concentrations - Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change - took place at
> the
> invitation of the British Prime Minister Tony Blair under the
> sponsorship of
> Defra at the Met Office, Exeter on February 1-3, 2005. Information
> on the
> conference is available at http://www.stabilisation2005.com
>
> 5 Follow-up events to the Conference were held at the meeting of the
> Subsidiary Bodies of the United Nations Conference on Climate Change
> (UNFCCC) in June and at the Conference of the Parties to the
> UNFCCC in
> Montreal in December.
>
> 6 The book will provide input into the UNFCCC's Fourth Assessment
> Report,
> which will be launched in 2008.
>
>
>
> Aubrey Meyer
> GCI
> 37 Ravenswood Road
> LONDON E17 9LY
> Ph 0208 520 4742
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