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EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS FOR DECISION MODELLING
17th - 21st July 2006 Vaughan College, Leicester, UK
This is a 5-day course intended for:
(a) Anyone undertaking health technology assessments, including cost-
(b) Statisticians, with or without experience in meta-analysis, who
wish to learn about Bayesian methods for evidence synthesis particularly in
the context of cost-effectiveness analysis.
The methods taught on the course are designed to be compatible with the
recent guidance issued by the National Institute for Clinical Excellence,
requiring probabilistic methods in cost-effectiveness models. The course
focuses particularly on Bayesian methods for evidence synthesis that can be
integrated within a probabilistic modelling framework, and can be used to
statistically combine evidence from a range of structures. The course is
built around a series of examples using the WinBUGS statistical software.
Further details including online booking can be found at the course website:
and from the Course Administrator Katrina Ford ([log in to unmask]
or Tel +44 (0)117 928 7223) whilst a summary is pasted below.
- Introduction to Bayesian methods and WinBUGS
- Bayesian Approaches to Meta-Analysis - fixed and random effects
- Heterogeneity, Meta-Regression and Adjusting for Baseline Risk·
- Model Critique and Evidence Consistency - in random effects meta-
- Bayesian Approaches to Evidence Synthesis for Decision Modelling
- Multi-Parameter Evidence Synthesis - in epidemiological models
- Mixed Treatment Comparisons· Markov Decision Models
- Markov Modelling & Meta-Analysis
- Chain of Evidence
- Multiple Outcomes·
- Observational & Randomised Evidence - Generalised Evidence Synthesis
- Further Issues in Evidence Synthesis - Publication Bias, Value of
Prof Keith Abrams (Univ of Leicester), Prof Tony Ades (MRC HSRC, Bristol),
Dr Nicola Cooper (Univ of Leicester), Dr Alex Sutton (Univ of Leicester)
and Dr Nicky Welton (MRC HSRC, Bristol)
Vaughan College - A University of Leicester adult education unit within 10
minutes walk from the city centre (Leicester). For more information see
Course fees will cover workshop documentation, lunch, tea and coffee and
the course dinner on Wed 19th July. You will need to book your own
Student - £450
Academic - £650
Industry - £1300
You will need to book your own accommodation. A range of accommodation will
be available to delegates. Information will follow on registration.
- Applicants should have a good working knowledge of: fixed and random
effects meta-analysis, logistic regression, and statistical interaction.
- Experience with probabilistic decision analysis in cost effectiveness
analysis would be an advantage, but is not necessary.
- Applicants are expected to have downloaded WinBUGS prior to the course,
and to have worked through the on-line tutorial, and explored the on-line
BLOCKER example (Help_Examples Vol I_Blocker). NB you need to use initial
values Inits2 for this to run.
Keith R. Abrams
Professor of Medical Statistics
Centre for Biostatistics & Genetic Epidemiology
Department of Health Sciences
University of Leicester
22-28 Princess Road West
Leicester, LE1 6TP, U.K.
Tel +44 (0)116 252 3217
FAX +44 (0)116 252 3272
e-mail [log in to unmask]
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