From: INT
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Sent: 27/05/2005 16:00
Subject: INT, n. 460 summary fl
INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122
N. 460, 16 May 2005
Every Two to Three Weeks
Next issue, 30 May 2005
Publishing since 1980
Editor
Olivier Schmidt
([log in to unmask];
http://perso.wanadoo.fr/intelligence-adi)
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TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 460, 16 May 2005
FRONT PAGE
GREAT BRITAIN/USA - BLAIR'S WAR FOR "DUBYA" p.1
TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES
TIMELINE FROM 25 APRIL TO 13 MAY p.2
COUNTERING IMPROVISED EXPLOSIVE DEVICES (IED) p.3
SURVEILLANCE - Camera Systems Not Worth It. p.4
FAILURES OF SECURITY & HIGH-TECH AT AIRPORTS p.5
PROBLEMS DUMPING OLD MUNITIONS & RADIOACTIVE WASTE p.6
TECHNOLOGY & TECHNIQUES - Briefs. p.7
PEOPLE
USA - THOMAS C. BUTLER p.8
USA/ISRAEL - LAWRENCE FRANKLIN p.9
POLAND - KONRAD HEJMO p.10
RUSSIA - ANATOLY CHUBAIS p.11
PALESTINE - RASHID ABU SHBAK p.12
IRAQ/USA - AHMED CHALABI p.13
AGENDA
COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 JULY 2005 p.14
INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD
USA - COUNTER-PRODUCTIVE ANTI-TERRORISM OVER-REACTION p.15
- "MODERATE" GOP REARS ITS HEAD AGAIN p.16
- CIA RENDITIONS SPLIT OVERSIGHT COMMITTEE p.17
- THE BUSH-BOLTON "BRAVE NEW WORLD" p.18
- GOP THROWS DELAY TO THE WOLVES p.19
- WHAT "FIXING INTELLIGENCE" MEANS p.20
- PENTAGON'S WORSE THAN USUAL BAD PRESS p.21
- OIL-FOR-FOOD "POLITICAL MILEAGE" p.22
GREAT BRITAIN - BLOODY SUNDAY SNIPER FOUND DEAD p.23
NORTHERN IRELAND - PUBLIC INQUIRY INTO LAWYER'S DEATH p.24
IRELAND - INQUIRY INTO RUC KILLINGS p.25
SPAIN - THE "DISAPPEARANCE" OF SEVERO MOTO p.26
ITALY - REFUSAL TO SIGN US ARMY REPORT p.27
RUSSIA - Chechnya & Other Problems. p.28
LATIN AMERICA - Bush Policy Losing Ground Rapidly. p.29
DJIBOUTI - Dead Judge Report Disappears. p.30
ISRAEL - VICTIM'S FAMILY TO SUE ISRAEL p.31
IRAQ - "SUB-CONTRACTING OUT" INSURGENCY p.32
IRAN - Russia & China to the defense of Tehran. p.33
ASIA - NORTH KOREA, CHINA & AFGHANISTAN p.34
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 1
GREAT BRITAIN/USA
BLAIR'S WAR FOR "DUBYA"
The mendacity that was the second Blair administration's policy
on Iraq surfaced once again during the British general election
campaign with the publication of a leaked classified document
in the "Sunday Times" on 1 May: the minutes of a meeting held
in Downing Street on 23 July 2002, which reveals that eight
months before the Iraq War began Prime Minister Blair was
determined to deploy British troops alongside US forces to
overthrow Saddam Hussein, despite Foreign Office advice that
"regime change" didn't have a legal basis under international
law. Blair appears to have made the decision to go to war while
visiting President George W. Bush at his ranch in Crawford,
Texas, the previous April.
The document, marked "SECRET AND STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL - UK
EYES ONLY", also contains the warning: "This record is
extremely sensitive. No further copies should be made. It
should be shown only to those with a genuine need to know its
contents." The 09h00 meeting at No. 10 was attended by Blair,
the Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, the Defence Secretary Geoff
Hoon, the Attorney General, Lord Goldsmith, the head of MI6,
Sir Richard Dearlove, the Chief of Defence Staff, Admiral Sir
Michael Boyce, the chairman of the Joint Intelligence
Committee, John Scarlett, and several senior members of Blair's
political staff.
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 3
COUNTERING IMPROVISED EXPLOSIVE DEVICES (IED)
On 9 May, "Aviation Week" called it "Looking for the Silver
Bullet" (by David A. Fulghum), with an explicative subtitle: A
two-week rise in suicide attacks and other bombings brings more
urgency to coalition's search for ways to detect explosive
devices. Fulghum is pessimistic: "The quest to find concealed
explosives in Iraq is making progress, but the pace is so slow
that both military and aerospace industry officials openly fret
about the lack of a definitive solution."
The "Washington Times" also treated the subject in non-
technical terms (0425 WT/ERRI, Countering IEDs; Insurgents
Adapt to Anti-IED Measures, Rowan Scarborough): "Insurgents
keep finding new ways to conceal and detonate deadly improvised
explosive devices, making the Pentagon's countermeasures that
much more difficult to develop, confidential military documents
say. 'Enemy sophistication continually improves,' said a recent
US military briefing to commanders. 'The enemy is adapting all
the time.'
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 15
USA
COUNTER-PRODUCTIVE ANTI-TERRORISM OVER-REACTION
Internal security in the United States, and its dominant
intelligence service, the FBI, has been known historically to
"over-react" in the "execution of its duty", which some
specialists simply call "covering its behind" in the Washington
political area. But with post-11 September 2001 anti-terrorism,
the FBI and associated services seem to have gone overboard to
such an extent that even the conservative Republican business
community wants to "call off the dogs". The case of Portland,
Oregon, and FBI whistle-blower, Sibel Edmonds, are exemplary,
but only two of the most outstanding recent cases.
In Portland, the major and former chief of police, Tom Potter,
has pulled out of the FBI anti-terrorism program (0423 ERRI,
Portland Mayor Recommends Pulling Officers Out of FBI-led Joint
Terrorism Task Force): "Unable to overcome a disagreement with
the FBI over civilian oversight of an FBI-led anti-terror task
force, Mayor Tom Potter on Friday recommended the city pull its
police officers out of the team and reassign them to a city-led
investigative unit. Potter's decision must be approved by the
City Council, which is meeting on Thursday to consider it. A
majority of the council has previously expressed support for
withdrawing Portland's officers from the Joint Terrorism Task
Force if the FBI didn't meet Potter's demands."
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 18
USA
THE BUSH-BOLTON "BRAVE NEW WORLD"
On 13 May, on the first page of the "New York Times"-owned
"International Herald Tribune" (0513) was the headline "A
setback for Bolton in bid to be UN envoy", by Brian Knowlton.
Readers could be excused for believing that the article meant
Bolton's nomination was not approved by the GOP-dominated
Senate Foreign Relations Committee which was voting that day,
but that supposes that the "Times" "tells it as it is"
concerning Bush White House actions. Instead, after an
introductory statement ("The nomination of John Bolton as the
US ambassador to the UN suffered a setback Thursday when a
Republican senator [George Voinovich] dug in his heels in
opposition, calling Bolton 'the poster child for what someone
in the diplomatic corps should not be'"), one learns that
"digging in your heels" includes voting in favor of the Bush
nominee: "The Republican-dominated committee later voted on
party lines, 10 to 8", thus approving Bolton's nomination but
without recommendation for the full Senate vote to come. This
means, in all likelihood, that out of the 55 Republican
Senators, the Bush White House will be able to get the
necessary 51 votes in favor of Bolton and, at the world's most
important international forum, the US will have a person with
whom few nations want to interact.
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 20
USA
WHAT "FIXING INTELLIGENCE" MEANS
On 6 May, William Rivers Pitt, in Truthout (Criminals Belong in
Prison) dug into the full meaning of "fixing intelligence":
"The document almost reads like satire. 'Bush wanted to remove
Saddam,' reads the leaked secret British intelligence memo
dated 23 July 2002, 'through military action, justified by the
conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and
facts were being fixed around the policy.' The intelligence and
facts were being fixed around the policy? You don't say. Plenty
of people have been bellowing about this for years now, often
risking their own well-being and that of their families in the
process. Richard Clarke, former White House Counter-Terrorism
Czar, spent a lot of time talking about how the books were
being cooked to justify an invasion of Iraq. Tom Maertens, who
was National Security Council director for nuclear non-
proliferation for both the Clinton and Bush White House, backed
up Clarke's story with his own eyewitness testimony. Roger
Cressey, Clarke's former deputy, witnessed one of the most
damning charges that has been leveled against the
administration by Clarke: They blew past al Qaida after the
9/11 attacks, focusing instead on Iraq. Donald Kerrick, a
three-star general who served as deputy National Security
Advisor under Clinton and stayed for several months in the Bush
White House, likewise saw this happening. Paul O'Neill, former
Treasury Secretary for George W. Bush, was afforded a position
on the National Security Council because of his job as Treasury
Secretary, and sat in on the Iraq invasion planning sessions
which were taking place months before the attacks of September
11. Those planning sessions kicked into high gear when the
Towers came down."
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 27
ITALY
REFUSAL TO SIGN US ARMY REPORT
Italian and US investigators looking into the death of Service
for Information and Military Security (SISMI) officer Nicola
Calipari in Baghdad have come to different conclusions. The two
sides agree only that the shooting was not deliberate. The US
investigators believe that Calipari failed to respond properly
to instructions from US soldiers manning a checkpoint, but
Italians contest the existence of a checkpoint and instructions
from any soldiers. Officially the Italians believe that the
primary contributor was stress and inexperience in the US
soldiers manning the checkpoint, but many specialists believe
the shooting was deliberate.
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 32
IRAQ
"SUB-CONTRACTING OUT" INSURGENCY
According to specialists, after initial military defeat, the
Baath infrastructure of Saddam's regime got its hand on a lot
of money, arms and explosives, and started giving orders to
former Iraqi military, police and Baath cadres to attack both
US and non-Baath Iraqi assets. That was modus operandi until
last fall (2004) when a French journalist participated directly
in a Iraqi mortar attack on the US Green Zone in Baghdad.
Former Iraqi army officials were giving the orders. Non-Baath
Islamists have simply complicated this overall situation but
tend to concentrate on attacking American assets, and not
usually other Iraqis.
By December 2004, the situation had changed, as the same French
source found out on the spot. The former Baath officers and
officials were then being courted by US officials as the only
people capable of doing something about the insurgency and
providing the Bush White House with a claim of "stability" to
allow US troops to pull out or barricade themselves in
fortified bases. But these same former Baath cadres, who were
ordering attacks on US assets, now have so much money and arms
at their disposal that they no longer send their former army
and police troops into action against the US. They "sub-
contract out" to anyone, usually local armed gangs, to carry
out the attacks they want against the US.
...cut...
---------------------------------------------
AGENDA
Intelligence, N. 460, 16 May 2005, p. 14
COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 JULY 2005
Iraq War Culture Review Essays: Bad Subjects <bad.eserver.org/>
is issuing an open call for review essays of 1000-3000 words
dealing with the cultural landscape created by the Iraq War,
[log in to unmask]
10-20 May, Singapore, IMDEX Asia 2005 International Maritime
Defence Conference, www.imdexasia.com
16 May, Chicago, Chicago (Cook County, IL) Crime Stoppers
Conference and Awards Luncheon 2005, Highlights of 2005
Conference include: Surveillance - Terrorist key to your
weakness; Military view on terrorism and WMD; Preparation is
your best weapon; When the worst happens, what do you do next?
[log in to unmask]
18 May, Washington, Space Foundation's "Space at the
Crossroads", www.spacesymposium.org
23-24 May, Atlanta, Georgia, Sixth Annual Institute on Privacy
Law - Data Protection - Convergence of Privacy & Security,
www.pli.edu/product/program_detail.~
24-25 May, Washington, Aviation Week, Homeland Security -
Transportation & Border Security, Challenges, Implementations,
Policies & Programs, www.aviationnow.com/conferences
29 May, deadline for papers for Applied Computer Security
Associates (ACSA) 21st Annual Computer Security Applications
Conference, Tucson, Arizona, 5-9 December 2005, www.acsac.org
30 May-1 June, Chiba, Japan, Security and Privacy in the Age of
Ubiquitous Computing, www.sec2005.org
1 June, deadline for Canadian Association of Security and
Intelligence Studies (CASIS) Essay Prize, [log in to unmask]
1 June, deadline for submissions for the International Studies
Association (ISA) Intelligence and Security Studies Section for
the next ISA convention in March 2006 in San Diego, California,
[log in to unmask]
1-3 June, Rennes, France, SSTIC Information Security
Conference, www.sstic.org
2-3 June, Long Beach, California, Association of the US Army
(AUSA) symposium, Joint C4 and Space Operations for the Current
and Future Force, www.ausa.org/glac
6-7 June, San Francisco, California, Sixth Annual Institute on
Privacy Law: Data Protection - The Convergence of Privacy &
Security, http://www.pli.edu/>http://www.pli.edu/
9-10 June, Paris, Shepard's Group, UV Europe 2005,
www.shepard.co.uk
16-18 June, Warsaw, Polish Institute of National Remembrance,
Communist Security Apparatus in East Central Europe, 1944-45 to
1989, [log in to unmask] or [log in to unmask]
20-21 June, New York, Sixth Annual Institute on Privacy Law:
Data Protection - The Convergence of Privacy & Security,
http://www.pli.edu/
27-28 June, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Infonortics,
Intelligence Tools, Data Mining, Visualization,
www.infonortics.com
28 June-1 July, Yokohama, Japan, IEEE-IFIP-IEICE, Dependable
Systems and Networks, www.dsn.org/
30 June, deadline for contributions to "Homeland Security - An
Encyclopedia", published by M. E. Sharpe in Texas in 2006,
articles from the colonial period through the present,
[log in to unmask]
5-6 July, Toulouse, France, International Quality and
Productivity Center, Military Satellites 2005, www.iqpc.co.uk
11-12 July, University of Glamorgan, Great Britain, Fourth
European Conference on Information Warfare and Security (ECIW
2005), www.academic-conferences.org/eciw2005
12-14 July, Canberra, Australia, Fourth Annual Homeland
Security Summit - Safeguarding Australia,
www.safeguardingaustraliasummit.org.au
---------------------------------------------
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