Ever since 2000 Eurostat (Statistical Office of the European Communities)
has organised once per year a colloquium on “Modern Tools for Business
Cycle Analysis”. The first colloquium was devoted to synthetic indicators,
the second one to the history of business cycle analysis and last year’s
colloquium dealt with a variety of statistical methods for business cycle
analysis such as detrending, turning point detection, cyclical convergence
measurement, forecasting and multivariate decomposition.
Eurostat hopes that many of those interested in business cycle analysis
for the Euro-zone and the European Union will attend its colloquia. The
colloquium will offer the opportunity to discover innovative tools and
advanced applications dealing with a difficult topic. There are a lot of
challenges in the realm of business cycle analysis after the introduction
of the Euro. Eurostat wants to meet them together with partners from the
business cycle analysis community such as academics, researchers,
journalists, official economists and statisticians. The colloquium is also
a great opportunity for graduate and post-graduate students to become
familiar with the most recent developments in business cycle analysis.
The 4th Eurostat colloquium on Modern Tools for Business Cycle Analysis,
co-organised with DG ECFIN (Directorate General of Economic and Financial
Affairs) will be held in the Hémicycle of the Schuman Building,
Luxembourg, from 20 to 22 October 2003. At the centre of this year’s
colloquium will be the analysis of Euro-zone growth and cycles patterns.
The colloquium consists of invited presentations, several contributed
sessions, one session for poster papers and one for software
presentation/demonstration. More than 60 submissions have been reviewed
and selected by a scientific committee chaired by Professor Lars Jonung
(DG ECFIN) and Gian Luigi Mazzi (Eurostat).
The invited speakers are:
•Prof. Michael Artis, European University Institute, Florence, Italy;
•Prof. Fabio Canova, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Madrid, Spain;
•Prof. Gianluca Cubadda, Università del Molise, Campobasso, Italy;
•Prof. Andrew Harvey, Cambridge University, Cambridge, United Kingdom;
•Prof. Siem Jan Koopman, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;
•Prof. Denise Osborn, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom;
•Prof. Tommaso Proietti, Universita di Udine, Udine, Italy;
•Prof. Domenico Sartore, Università Cafoscari, Venezia, Italy;
•Prof. Herman Van Dijk, Erasmus University, Rotterdam ,The Netherlands.
The sessions with contributed papers will cover the following topics:
– Composite indicators
– Convergence and synchronisation
– Dating and detection of turning points
– Output gap estimates
– Monetary policy and business cycle analysis
– Methodology of business cycle analysis
Most papers focus on the Euro-zone behaviour. However, some of them are
devoted to a comparative analysis of Member States and the impact of the
enlargement process is also analysed. All papers will soon be available
through the Euroindicators website at
http://europa.eu.int/comm/euroindicators. The proceedings of the
colloquium will later on be published in the "Monography of Official
Statistics" (MOS) edited by Eurostat.
The preliminary programme and the registration form are attached, but they
are also available through the Euroindicators web-site. Please note that
no registration fees are required. However, since the number of places is
limited, all interested persons are kindly requested to register as soon
as possible by sending the attached registration form to estat-colloquium-
[log in to unmask] or by fax to Mrs Liette EISEN (+352) 4301-34851.
For any administrative details, please contact Ms Nelly Da Silva (nelly.da-
[log in to unmask]; (+352) 4301-34007) and for information on the
conference itself contact Mr Gian Luigi Mazzi ([log in to unmask];
(+352) 4301-34351).
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