A few scribbles.

The strategy that the Taliban will adopt is a defensive one. Otherwise they will be
wiped out. They should not seriously try to defend Kabul or, in general, any of the
other  cities or even large towns. Their strategy, should if possible, involve their
retreat to the mountains. They should draw the enemy into the these mountains where
they can through guerrilla warfare wear them down. As  the enemy gets sucked into the
mountains they will be become more desperate as the body bags head home --even if
only in small numbers. The Taliban must be prepared to engage in a war of attrition
in which they are prepared to loose more people than the enemy. Otherwise they must
surrender here and now.

They must be prepared to hold out for several years. If they do there is a strong
likelihood that the  grand crusaders' coalition will disintegrate. Under these
conditions the domestic conditions in the US and Britain may grow more adverse. The
Taliban cannot hope to militarily drive the crusading imperialist armies out of
Afghanistan. They have to be prepared to suffer --and suffer enormously. The longer
the Taliban hold out the greater the likelihood of material and moral support growing
internationally. This will involved increased domestic pressure within the homeland
of the most active imperialist states --the US and the UK. Under these conditions the
pressure on the US and the UK to withdraw may increase.

The Taliban must study the history of the Crusades, the 26th of July movement in
Cuba,Washington's involvement in Vietnam, FARC in Colombia and the guerilla struggle
in Ireland during the earlier part of the 20th century, the Provisional IRA in
Ireland. These events will provide them with valuable lessons.

Politically and diplomatically the Taliban must go for the weakest partner in the
love relationship between  Washington and London. They must go for London. If it can
exploit the weakness of  UK imperialism thereby breaking it away from the partnership
by exploiting its weaknesses to the full it, ipso facto, weakens the US. Instead of
reinforcing the grand coalition it must seek to fracture it at its weakest points.
Banging on about more air attacks against the US will only reinforce US chauvinism.
The Taliban must desist from such rhetoric. Instead of weakening  Washington such
empty rhetoric strengthens it. Washington requires conditions that reinforce hysteria
to make its war of state terror against Afghanistan and the masses of the world more
plausible.

It wont take much to break France away from the coalition. If France can be broken
away it will prove a big blow to the Washington led attack. Nothing must be done to
antagonise France. If France breaks away others will follow suit. The Taliban must
chip away. It must, like its enemy, be in for the long haul. If it is dedicated,
calm, cool and patient it can make a massive impact that may lead to the withdrawal
of Washington from Afghanistan. However this perspective assumes the Taliban has the
resources to achieve this.

As with Vietnam the Taliban cannot hope to win the war in a military sense. But they
can win it in a Pyhrric sense. By making it so difficult for Washington and London
that they are forced to retreat as in Vietnam. However to do this requires great will
power and a preparedness to make great sacrifice. This event will have huge
international repercussions.

Kai