Print

Print


In a hypothetically perfect and unrealisable trial all patients would enter
a trial like UKPDS on the same day and (assuming they were still alive)
leave the trial on the same day. in reality subjects will be followed up for
varying lengths of time so it is necessary to adjust for this. to say that
the event rate is 40.9 per 1000 patient years is to say that it would take
one year of follow up of 1000 patients before 40.9 suffered the event or 2
years if  500 were followed up.
an alternative method that does not adjust for variable length of follow-up
is to state the event rate over the average length of follow-up and that is
how you get a different figure altogether as james mccormack has
demonstrated.

i have posted a fuller discussion of this with examples on:
http://www.suffolk-maag.ac.uk/ebm/pt-yrs&NNTs.html
--
Kev Hopayian, Seahills, Leiston Rd, Aldeburgh, Suffolk IP15 5PL, England

----------
From: "James McCormack" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: percentages versus patient years
Date: Fri, Oct 29, 1999, 7:15 am


Hi: I was wondering if anyone could give me a brief synopsis (or where to
find it) of the advantages and disadvantages of presenting clinical trial
data as either percentages (events/patients) versus events per 1000 patient
years. In particular, in the UKPDS 33 trial any diabetes related endpoints
were reported as 40.9/1000 patient years in the intensive group and
46.0/1000 patient years in the conventional group. However when one
calculates the absolute percentages it comes out as 963/2729 = 35.3% in the
intensive group versus 438/1138 = 38.5% in the conventional group. Is the
difference because more than one event can occur in one patient? In
contrast, when one calculates the absolute percentage differences between
the groups for MI or deaths the absolute differences seem to be fairly
similar. Thanks in advance!

Dr James McCormack
Associate Professor
Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences
University of British Columbia
Vancouver, B.C.
604) 822-1710



%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%