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For your information: Modelling Football Matches With Application In Spread Betting Mike Robinson [University of Surrey] Wednesday 17 February @ 5pm [tea + biscuits - 4.30pm] European Business Management School University of Wales Swansea Abstract ---------- Goal time data from the English football league shows that the rate at which goals are scored changes during the course of the match. The rate tends to increase but also depends on other factors such as the current score. The talk presents a single statistical model for the goal-scoring process which has applications in spread betting and may be useful to both bookmakers and betters. [There is also a summary in the current New Scientist] For further information (eg directions to UWS) contact Alan Watkins 01792 295853 [log in to unmask] %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%