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(let me begin with an apology to anybody who gets this note twice, and a
grovel to anyone who gets it 3 times!)

as you know, we are doing some large, simple studies of the precision and
accuracy of the clinical examination (with wonderful collaboration and
exciting results in our initial pilot).

for one of our next studies, we'll want our clinical collaborators to test
two alternative approaches to determining a specific clinical sign, and
one obvious approach to achieve comparability would be to allocate
patients to the alternative diagnostic manoeuvres in a fashion that
achieves the balancing properties of randomisation. 

the challenges we've identified are three:

1. to achieve concealment from the examining clinician, we can't use any
prior information that the examiner might know (eg, odd or even birth
date), since that might influence the decision to enter the pateint into
the study (eg, if the clinician preferred one method of examination
over the other, or if one way of determining the sign took a lot longer
than the other). 

2. and to prevent unconscious or conscious bias in determining a "random"
patient feature (eg, odd or even diastolic pressure or pulse), we can't
use any finding that is subject to end-digit preference or other
systematic mis-reading.

3. finally, allocation has to be accomplished in the blink of an eye, so
it can't require asking a third party or calling some hot-line.

although tossing a coin or rolling a die would meet our objective, we
would be uncomfortable about doing this in front of our patients (and
reckon that their confidence in our subsequent therapeutic advice might be
shaken!). 

can any of you, from prior personal experience or reading, offer advice
to us?

what allocation strategies could you suggest that would be:
1. capable of generating comparable groups of roughly equivalent size
(a split not more extreme than 60-40)
2. concealed from the examiner and patient up to point of allocation
3. unobtrusive
4. instantaneous
5. capable of application in any clinical setting in any country

i'll summarise the advice and report back to you.

many many thanks
dls for sharon straus and finlay mcalister
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Prof David L. Sackett
Director, NHS R&D Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine
Consultant in Medicine                    Editor, Evidence-Based Medicine
Nuffield Department of Medicine,          University of Oxford
Level 5, John Radcliffe Hospital,         Oxford OX3 9DU, England
Phone: +44-(0)1865-221320                 Fax:  +44-(0)1865 222901
Email: [log in to unmask]          WWW:  http://cebm.jr2.ox.ac.uk
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