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Don't miss Simon's talk tomorrow -G > > Dear All > > Seminar 8: Friday, April 12th, Room MAP/0G/005, Maths and Physics > Teaching Centre, QUB , at 3pm -4pm (Coffee and biscuits from 2:30pm). > > Title: Quantitative system risk assessment from incomplete data > > By: Professor Simon Wilson , Trinity College Dublin > > Abstract. > A method for conducting Bayesian elicitation and learning in risk > assessment is presented. It assumes that the risk process can be > described as a fault tree. This is viewed as a belief network, for > which prior distributions on primary event probabilities are elicited > by means of a pairwise comparison approach. A Bayesian updating > procedure, following observation of some or all of the events in the > fault tree, is described. The application is illustrated through the > motivating example of risk assessment of spacecraft explosion during > controlled re-entry. > > RSVP: Please email the Secretary if attending in order to assist with > planning lunch > > Please check the website > www.rssni.co.uk > > Best > > Gilbert > > > -- > > > > _____________________________ > > Prof. Gilbert MacKenzie, > Formerly of > Centre of Biostatistics, > Dept. of Mathematics & Statistics, > University of Limerick, > Limerick > Ireland > > Hon. Sec. RSS NI Local Group. > > RSSNI ~www.rssni.co.uk > > RSS Conference Sept. 2019 in Belfast: see website > > CBS ~http://www3.ul.ie/biostatistics > > BIO-SI ~http://www3.ul.ie/bio-si > > Resesearchgate ~https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Gilbert_MacKenzie > > Email:[log in to unmask] > > _________________________ -- _____________________________ Prof. Gilbert MacKenzie, Formerly of Centre of Biostatistics, Dept. of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Limerick, Limerick Ireland Hon. Sec. RSS NI Local Group. RSSNI ~ www.rssni.co.uk RSS Conference Sept. 2019 in Belfast: see website CBS ~ http://www3.ul.ie/biostatistics BIO-SI ~ http://www3.ul.ie/bio-si Resesearchgate ~ https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Gilbert_MacKenzie Email: [log in to unmask] _________________________ You may leave the list at any time by sending the command SIGNOFF allstat to [log in to unmask], leaving the subject line blank.