Many thanks for informing us of this- I was unacquainted with the Africa 2063 Agenda - presumably drawn up as a 50 year plan in 2013?
Looking ahead even further to 2100, taking data from the publication "World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First century", eds W Lutz, W Butz and KC Samir, - Africa will have the second biggest impact on human population numbers by the end of the 21st C, after Asia. This book has the merit of taking a detailed look at population trends far into the future, split down into individual countries as well as by continent and globally; also by scenario, high/low development etc.
Their population estimates for the world, 2100, are between 12.5 bn and 7.0bn. Obviously the final number between these two will have a huge impact on resource consumption, CO2 levels, species extinction, food security, and much else. At 10 billion we may be OK, given that we currently waste 35% of food produced for example, so in fact we already, globally, produce enough food for some 10bn people, assuming we don't experience major climatic deterioration for example. 12 billion plus may be problematical however.
For Africa alone, they estimate between 3.9bn and 1.9 bn, a range of 2bn. For Asia, the biggest range by continent, the estimate for 2100 is between 6.9bn and 3.2bn. Given the recent rapid decline in birthrate in China, possiuby even below replacement rate 2.1, despite relaxation of the 1-child policy, we may yet see Asia come in towards the lower end of this range; a lot depends on India. In Africa, Nigeria alone accounts for an uncertainty factor of almost half a billion population, between 880m and 420 million.
Education - female education especially - is a major factor affecting birthrates, so we really need to ensure that, as the Agenda 2063 states, we "look after our children," educate them well, grow the economy out of poverty where this is prevalent (also a significant factor in population growth), and ensure sustainability is at the top of the agenda.
Very good and interesting project - wishing it every success.
Dr Hillary J. Shaw
Visiting Fellow - Centre for Urban Research on Austerity
Department of Politics and Public Policy
De Montfort University
LE1 9BH
http://dmu.ac.uk/about-dmu/academic-staff/business-and-law/hilary-shaw/hillary-shaw.aspx
www.fooddeserts.org
-----Original Message-----
From: Suchith Anand <
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To: CRIT-GEOG-FORUM <
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Sent: Mon, Feb 18, 2019 12:19 pm
Subject: Aligning African Universities to accelerate attainment of Africa’s Agenda 2063
Dear colleagues,
I am pleased to share the Communiqué (attached) from the Sixth African Higher Education Week and RUFORUM Biennial Conference 2018 .
20 Ministers of Higher Education, over 30 senior government officials and experts, 105 Vice Chancellors met at the Sixth African Higher Education Week and RUFORUM Biennial Conference from 22-26 October, 2018 in Nairobi, Kenya.
The Conference was organized under the overall theme of “Aligning African Universities to accelerate attainment of Africa’s Agenda 2063”. The Government of Kenya through its Ministry of Education and nine RUFORUM member universities in Kenya were the lead
organizers of the Conference.
I thank the Government of Kenya and RUFORUM for inviting me to deliver keynote at this important conference on the topic of
“Harnessing the digital potential to drive higher education transformation in Africa” . Geospatial science plays an important role in agricultural systems, specifically,
in realizing United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goal to ‘End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture’.[1],[2].
Best wishes,
Suchith
Dr Suchith Anand
Chief Scientific Adviser
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