Hello Ilan,
I've just perused the first one ("PNG") but it's an atoll and is the 20 cm of inundation rising sea level or sinking atoll (a la Darwinian classic)?
Have a read of the last paragraph in the "Conclusion".
What do you think?
I suspect he is a skeptic and may favour tectonic cause -- although he does not explicitly state that.
But look also at his previous writings on the subject:
"""""""""""""""""""
Connell,
J. (2003) Losing
ground? Tuvalu, the greenhouse effect and the garbage can, Asia
Pacific Viewpoint 44(2):
89–107.
Wiley
Online Library
Connell,
J. (2008) Niue:
Embracing a culture of migration, Journal of
Ethnic and Migration Studies 34(6):
1021–1040.
CrossRef
|
Web
of Science® Times Cited: 22
Connell,
J. (2013) Islands
at risk? Economies, environments and contemporary change. Cheltenham:
Edward Elgar.
CrossRef
Connell,
J. (2015) Vulnerable
islands: Climate change, tectonic change and changing livelihoods in the
Western Pacific, The Contemporary Pacific
27(1): 1–36.
CrossRef
|
Web
of Science®
Connell,
J. (2016) Nothing
there atoll? Farewell to the Carteret Islands, in T.
Crook and P. Rudiak-Gould (eds.), Appropriating
climate change. Warsaw: De
Gruyter Open in press.
""""""""""""""""""""""""""
I actually come from the same place as him ----- Geology at Uni. of Sydney. Next time I'm in there I will talk to him about it.
I've only skimmed through the paper quickly at the moment.
One way or another the people are set to environmental or geologic (tectonic) refugees ... they cannot hang on there forever.
Connell has written about other similar island situations.
For the moment I might tend to avoid the atolls ... and look for cases in more stable settings .... but certainly will eventually read more fully on the atolls too.
Late now ... and will move on to your other examples later.
Thanks again, John
~~~
----- Original Message -----
To:
<[log in to unmask]>
Cc:
Sent:
Sat, 30 Sep 2017 12:37:36 +0000
Subject:
Re: Re when will climate change get VISIBLE
Dear John,
Hope that this proves to be useful. With thanks and best wishes,
Ilan
From: John Byrnes <[log in to unmask]>
To: [log in to unmask]
Sent: Saturday, September 30, 2017 12:02 PM
Subject: Re: [CLIMATE-CHANGE-IMPACTS] Re when will climate change get VISIBLE
Thanks Illan,
As you can see I have only to date been checking with Australian Councils (and in one case higher Government - which had no examples in their area).
But I'd be interested to try some overseas councils too.
Re "Physical evidence of climate change has appeared in some communities being forced to move due to localised environmental changes" ----- where, would you suggest? Can you just give me one or two pre-publication to go on with.
I image that in places with melting permafrost peoples homes might be sinking and some places WILL simply have to be abandoned .. at least in the short term.
I know of such things in general but haven't looked into any specific locations.
PNG places I'd not heard of myself at all.
Re "there is a paucity of high quality, high impact peer-reviewed literature on the topic of 'climate change resilience' " --- yep, someone else writing that, not me.
Cheers, John Byrnes
~~~~~~~~~~~.
----- Original Message -----
To:
<[log in to unmask]>
Cc:
Sent:
Sat, 30 Sep 2017 07:41:14 +0000
Subject:
Re: Re when will climate change get VISIBLE
Physical evidence of climate change has appeared in some communities being forced to move due to localised environmental changes which, according to the literature, can be attributed to climate change only. I recently completed a review of attribution of migration to climate change which will be published in the next few months in The Lancet (as part of a wider study) in which we list the specific communities and their current populations. I shall aim to post here the link to the paper once it is published.
Communities for which there is evidence that they are being forced to move due to climate change only are in Alaska, Louisiana, and PNG. Communities in which climate change is a significant or deciding factor in their ongoing decision to move are not listed specifically, but appear in many places around the world Background information from a small islands developing states perspective can be seen in my publications listed at http://www.islandvulnerability.org/docs/islandsclimatechange.pdf especially under the "Migration" heading.
I was surprised to read in the original message that "there is a paucity of high quality, high impact peer-reviewed literature on the topic" of "climate change resilience". I append below a sampling of publications which critique resilience from climate change and wider perspectives, in effect pointing out that it is time to move beyond resilience, mainly because climate change work has undermined the topic. This illustrates the importance of keeping up with the literature and scholarly debates.
Warmest regards to everyone,
Ilan
Here is a sampling of papers (many more exist) taking a
critiquing approach to resilience, indicating that there is no "paucity of high quality, high impact peer-reviewed literature" and that we have already moved well beyond a focus on "climate change resilience", so it is unclear why yet another Handbook would be needed:
1.
http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/2707/2013/nhess-13-2707-2013.pdf
2. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-016-2294-0
3. http://ojs.unbc.ca/index.php/acme/article/viewFile/866/722
4. http://phg.sagepub.com/content/39/3/249.full.pdf+html
5.
http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/09653561311301970
6. http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/DPM-03-2013-0053
7. http://www.ilankelman.org/articles1/kelman2008udp.pdf
8.
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13753-015-0038-5
9.
http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/DPM-12-2012-0143
10. http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/09653560710817011
11. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13549839.2011.583049
12. http://www.daghammarskjold.se/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/dd58_one_side.pdf
(the article starting on page 67).
13. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1464286799000029
14. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/030549899104008
15. http://epc.sagepub.com/content/32/5/934.abstract
16. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/026974592013.787721
17. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/area.12118/abstract
18. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1467-8624.00164/full
19. http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/ip/sear/2013/00000021/00000003/art00004
20. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0143622811001846
21. http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0309132512454775
To: Professor Walter .... or anyone else .
As some here may know I'm a Master of Policy Studies (Uni of New South Wales, at Kensington) with some minor climate change research being done on far LESS than the proverbial smell of an oil rag .. I.e. almost zero-cost research .. just the cost of emails which is pretty low.
I thus constantly monitor (and re-monitor) Councils in East Australia, especially coastal Councils -- asking:
"Has Council seen or heard of any physical evidence of sea level change or climate change in your area, please?".
This has been going on for years and still very few know anything at all on this.
Lately Canberrra ..our biggest 'State' or "Territory" has confirmed there is nothing known of there ... but they are inland, not on the coast.
Does anyone know where in UK or USA there *ought* to be some evidence known of to Councils.
I've been asked does buckling of tramlines in the heat qualify as physical evidence (this happened in Melbourne).
What do people think please on that?
It seems impressive to me.
Cheers,
Dr John Byrnes
----- Prof Walter wrote -----
Due to its relevance and impact, discussions on climate change
resilience have now taken a central
place in the scholarly discourse -and on political deliberations-
on how to handle climate
change.
Yet, there is a paucity of high quality, high impact
peer-reviewed literature on
the topic.