I don’t expect the NNT’s below to be accurate if derived from the Lancet 2005 review – the meta-analysis by the CTT Collaborators reported is on the risk reductions “per mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction” and not an estimate of statin vs. placebo effects such that the NNT would represent the number needed to treat with statins to have the benefits.
Using evidence more specific to statins vs. placebo for the population of patients with heart disease the NNT results are actually better (lower NNT numbers, larger estimated absolute risk reductions) if you use either of:
Wilt TJ et al. Effectiveness of statin therapy in adults with coronary heart disease. Arch Intern Med 2004 Jul 12;164(13):1427-36 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
pubmed/15249352?dopt=Abstract
Gutierrez J et al. Statin therapy in the prevention of recurrent cardiovascular events: a sex-based meta-analysis. Arch Intern Med 2012 Jun 25;172(12):909-19 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
pubmed/22732744?dopt=Abstract
Brian S. Alper, MD, MSPH, FAAFP
Founder of DynaMed
Vice President of Innovations and Evidence-Based Medicine Development, EBSCO Health
Office: 978-356-6500 x2749 | Cell: 978-804-8719Mission: Provide the most useful information for healthcare decision-making
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From: Evidence based health (EBH) [mailto:EVIDENCE-BASED-HEALTH@
JISCMAIL.AC.UK ] On Behalf Of Moacyr Roberto Cuce Nobre
Sent: Monday, January 16, 2017 6:14 PM
To: EVIDENCE-BASED-HEALTH@JISCMAIL.AC.UK
Subject: Re: absolute benefit of statins
Hi Jeremy
Statins Given for 5 Years for Heart Disease Prevention (With Known Heart Disease)
Benefits in NNT
1 in 83 were helped (life saved)
1 in 39 were helped (preventing non-fatal heart attack)
1 in 125 were helped (preventing stroke)
Harms in NNT
1 in 50 were harmed (develop diabetes*)
1 in 10 were harmed (muscle damage)
Details for this Review
CTT Collaborators. Efficacy and safety of cholesterol-lowering treatment: prospective meta-analysis of data from 90 056 participants in 14 randomised trials of statins. Lancet. 2005; 366: 1267-1278.
Cheers
--
Moacyr
_______________________________________
Moacyr Roberto Cuce Nobre, MD, MS, PhD
Equipe de Epidemiologia Clínica e Apoio à Pesquisa
Instituto do Coração (InCor) Hospital das Clínicas
Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo
55 11 2661 5941 (fone/fax)
55 11 991 331 009 (celular)
De: "Jeremy Howick" <[log in to unmask]>
Para: EVIDENCE-BASED-HEALTH@JISCMAIL.AC.UK
Enviadas: Segunda-feira, 16 de Janeiro de 2017 14:33:40
Assunto: absolute benefit of statinsDoes anyone have any information about the ABSOLUTE RISK REDUCTION of statins for high risk individuals?
I realise that ‘high risk’ is classified a number of ways, as long as it is specified I don’t might which classification is used.
Thanks in advance!
Jeremy
T: +44 (0)1865 289 258 E: [log in to unmask]
http://www.phc.ox.ac.uk/team/
jeremy-howick
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford
Radcliffe Primary Care Building, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG