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Don’t forget that the next RSS Merseyside local group meeting will take place on Tuesday 3rd May (next Tuesday) at 2pm in Room 521 of Cedar House at the University of Liverpool

14:00-14:45 Jane Hutton (Professor, Department of Statistics, University of Warwick) 

A civil expert witness: life and death

I frequently provide expert witness reports on estimates of life expectancy, and occasionally on other matters such as side effects of drugs and putatively avoidable deaths.
If a compensation case arises from an injury, which might be caused by medical error or an industrial or traffic accident, the award will often depend on the expected reduction in life expectancy.  I shall discuss approaches to estimating life expectancy when smoking, alcohol consumption, illegal substance use and anorexia or obesity have to be considered as well as the main motivation of the claim.  Estimates of effects of injury and life style factors are published in many forms.  I will comment on the challenges I have faced, and the solutions I have adopted.

14:45-15:00 Coffee

15:00-15:45 Colin Aitken (Professor, School of Mathematics, University of Edinburgh) 

Lies, Damned Lies and Expert Witnesses

The role of statistics in criminal law is not without controversy.  Bayes Theorem has been banned from the courts and there have been many misunderstandings concerning conditional probabilities.  The talk will be a general one about statistics, forensic sciences and the law - partly technical, partly philosophical, and partly historical.

15:45-16:15 Panel Discussion

ALL ARE WELCOME. If you plan to attend, please register: https://sites.google.com/site/rssmerseyside/research-meetings/legal-forensic-statistics/registration-form

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