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Short Course : Applied Multivariable Regression Modelling

Lecturers:   Prof. Dr. Willi Sauerbrei (University of Freiburg), Dr A.
Perperoglou (University of Essex)

Dates:  7 – 11 September 2015

Multivariable regression models are widely used in all areas of science in
which empirical data are analysed. In research, data on several variables
may be collected to investigate the interrelationships among them, or to
determine factors which affect an outcome of interest. An example from
medicine is the relationship between the survival time of a patient
following treatment for cancer and potentially influential variables (known
in this context as prognostic factors such as age, size of the tumour, its
aggressiveness, and so on). Often, effects of more than 10 potentially
influential variables must be considered simultaneously in a single model.
For several reasons a smaller model which includes only a subset of the
variables may be preferable. An aim of the analysis, therefore, is the
selection of a subset of ‘important’ variables with impact on the outcome.
With specific attention to variable selection and determination of the
(non-linear) functional form of the effect of continuous variables we
discuss statistical methods to develop models which try to best answer
specific subject matter questions in the framework of regression models.

 The aim of the course is to guide practitioners in making multivariable
model building simpler, transparent and more effective. The target audience
is researchers from medical, physical, social and other sciences where
regression models play a central role, as well as graduate students
studying regression modelling and professionals in statistics. Several
parts of the course are based on the textbook by one of the lecturers (
http://www.imbi.uni-freiburg.de/biom/Royston-Sauerbrei-book/). It provides
a readable text giving the rationale of, and practical advice on, a unified
approach to multivariable modelling.

 The course is split into two sessions, a morning lectures session where
basic ideas, methods and theory are introduced, and an afternoon hands-on
workshop on applying the methods using R software.  The topics covered
include:


   - Basic introduction to the foundations of regression models (linear,
   logistic, Cox regression model, estimation, tests)
   - Variable selection methods, handling categorical predictors
   - Modelling continuous predictors (categorization, fractional
   polynomials (FPs), Multivariable FP procedure)
   - Interactions (two binary variables, binary-continuous, two continuous,
   time-varying effects)
   - Various issues (eg comparison of MFP with splines, model stability,
   reporting of observational studies, meta-analysis of functions)

 A basic knowledge of key statistical principles and of the linear
regression model is assumed.


Registration required, deadline 15 July 2015

Fees:  Essex PGR students, alumni, staff : £300, Other academia and
not-for-profit organisations: £400, Commercial: £800

This is a post ECDA2015 conference course, but no conference registration
or attendance is required.

webpage:  http://ecda2015.com/post-conference-course/

Register via:
https://shortcoursesgateway.essex.ac.uk/Guests/GuestCourse.aspx?CourseRef=AMRM:DMS&dates=

*For more information contact *

Aris Perperoglou

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tel: +44(0) 1206 87 3036

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