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Paul, could you be more explicit in what you mean by "aggregate statistical
methods"? Thanks.


On Thu, Apr 10, 2014 at 2:53 PM, Paul Barrett <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

> Elsevier, the publisher of:
>
> *Grice, J. (2011).* Observation Oriented Modeling: Analysis of cause in
> the behavioral sciences. New York: Academic Press. ISBN: 978-012-385194-9,
>
> has identified OOM as an innovation in data and causal analysis that
> should be made more widely available than at present *(before, you could
> only use it if you purchased the book).*
>
>
>
> To that end, they have encouraged James to set up a specialist OOM website
> from which the software may be downloaded, along with a host of video
> examples, and publications explaining, promoting, and using OOM as the
> analysis tool.
>
> http://www.idiogrid.com/OOM/
>
>
>
> The latest publication from James is beautifully written, cogent, with
> good solid examples drawn from the textbooks and re-analyzed, with some
> great teaching suggestions for those methodologists who may wish to impart
> knowledge of this approach to analyzing data and developing/testing causal
> models.
>
> *Grice, J. (2014).* Observation Oriented Modeling: Preparing students for
> research in the 21st century. *Innovative Teaching*, 3, , 1-27.
>
>
>
> I have not used OOM myself for any major analysis because much of what I
> do mirrors the logic, philosophy, and purposes of what OOM sets out to
> achieve.
>
>
>
> *But, that is about to change*.  James and I are about to undertake a
> series of I/O domain analyses, showing how to powerfully answer
> straightforward validity questions without the statistical tomfoolery that
> epitomises current approaches.
>
>
>
> Having read the Innovative Teaching article .. I can now see how I would
> have approached the t-test example contained therein myself, again without
> ever having gone near a t-test or aggregate statistic. The reason why is a
> consequence of the kind of hypothesis statement you seek to test, and how
> you address the analysis outcome in terms of the claims you wish to make
> about the 'effects' or 'model' you have fitted to your data.
>
>
>
> I want to explain this in more depth in an article with James, where I
> approach a typical published dataset which uses aggregate statistical
> methods, compare these with OOM analyses, compare these with how I would
> have sought to test the same hypotheses using my own approach *(and how
> and why)*, then we draw the linkages between all three kinds of analysis,
> showing why aggregate statistical methods can never say much of any
> scientific interest.
>
>
>
> What you will also see is that I have to computationally build solutions
> for almost every problem I meet, drawing upon simulation, randomization,
> pattern-matching algorithms, and whatever else I can scavenge from the
> analysis-methodology toolbox; inventing stuff along the way if needs be.
> Which is exactly why  OOM is so powerful and useful. It is an integrated
> system for handling a huge variety of analysis designs, without the need to
> program and construct afresh almost every analysis. *But to use it you
> have to think as a scientist, not as a statistician*.
>
>
>
> The Observation Oriented focus is more demanding *scientifically* on
> investigators because error-observations are made explicit, and these
> require an explanation if your theory-driven statements, or even mild
> hypotheses, are to retain their validity. Contrast this with those using
> ANOVA, SEM, latent variable modeling, HLM, moderation/mediation methodology
> etc. Explanatory model-accuracy is not even addressed, let alone examined
> at the level of the observations themselves.
>
>
>
> But explanatory model accuracy goes hand-in-hand with any OOM analysis.
> That is a profound consequence for both scientific and pragmatic real-world
> applications.
>
>
>
> Regards .. Paul
>
>
>
> *Chief Research Scientist*
>
> *Cognadev.com*
>
>
> *__________________________________________________________________________________*
>
> *W*: www.cognadev.com <http://www.pbarrett.net/>
>
> *W*: www.pbarrett.net
>
> *E*: [log in to unmask]
>
> *M*: +64-(0)21-415625
>
>
>