Print

Print


Dear colleagues, 

 

It seems to me that one can work with a much more modest philosophy of
science about theorizing in the social sciences, such as specifying
heuristics (Herbert Simon). In the research process one can then work with
“theoretically informed expectations.” Testing these in observational terms
sets a loop of learning in motion that can be argued discursively.

 

In the case of simulations the observational terms are possible
realizations. One learns insofar as these are different from the
expectations. 

 

I don’t mean the above as an argument against theorizing, but the two
processes are not continuously and necessarily coupled. It can be a division
of labour.

 

Best,

Loet

 

 

From: News and discussion about computer simulation in the social sciences
[mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Klaus G. Troitzsch
Sent: Sunday, January 05, 2014 11:45 AM
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: [SIMSOC] AW: [SIMSOC] ABM To Test Theory ...

 

Dear all,

 

I would also like to draw your attention to the theory reconstruction
approach of the “non-statement view” of Sneed, Balzer, Moulines and others.
In several papers I (and, of course, others, too) have shown that building
object-oriented and agent-based simulation models are in line with this very
formal approach to the analysis and reconstruction of theories (see e.g.
http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-642-31140-6_6).

 

Best wishes

Klaus

 

Von: News and discussion about computer simulation in the social sciences
[mailto:[log in to unmask]] Im Auftrag von Sallach, David L.
Gesendet: Samstag, 4. Januar 2014 20:09
An: [log in to unmask]
Betreff: Re: [SIMSOC] ABM To Test Theory ...

 

Dear colleagues,

 

As many of you are aware, in addition to MSA, MDE, Monte Carlo and other
familiar methods, there is  a cluster of techniques based on emerging
mathematical theories .  A short list of the latter would include topos &
higher-order categories, various versions of type theory (e.g.,
constructive, inductive, dependent, polymorphic & homotopic) and categorial
grammars.  The power and expressiveness of these techniques have the
potential to significantly extend the analytical horizons of the
computational social sciences and are, thus, relevant to the present
discussion. 

 

Regards,

David

 

David L. Sallach, Senior Fellow 

Computation Institute 

University of Chicago 

Searle Laboratory, Suite 103 

5735 So. Ellis Avenue 

Chicago, IL 60637 

 

  _____  

From: News and discussion about computer simulation in the social sciences
[[log in to unmask]] on behalf of Klaus Jaffe [[log in to unmask]]
Sent: Saturday, January 04, 2014 12:24 PM
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: Re: [SIMSOC] ABM To Test Theory ...

To continue with this very interesting communal analysis I will part from
the assumption that simulations are a kind of mathematics and that math is
the language to ask nature our questions (as Einstein often insisted in his
lectures)

1- In this respect, ABM are on the edge of complexity. They can be made so
complex as to be beyond our understanding and/or that they become
unpredictable. Mathematics strives for the simplest representation of
reality and ABM sometimes are far from simple. Thus, many situations could
be better understood with simpler mathematical tools, but many other
situations are not amenable to a simpler analysis.

2- I have the intuitive understanding that ABM are equivalent to
multidimensional cellular automata (MCA) and to matrices of complex partial
equations (MDE). The choice of method depends on the previous training of
the user. Thus ABM are preferred by sociologists and biologists, MCA is the
preferred tool of many physicist as they can present their model
analytically, and MDE is very mathematical in spirit as it is less
interested in numerical solution and more in elegant abstraction. I thing
these 3 methods and may be more, are equivalent in its power to analyze
complex phenomena and should provide similar answers to our questions to
nature. But I have no formal proof of that

3- Science is a method and methods are there to solve problems. Thus I think
we should focus more on the kinds of problems we want to solve and less on
the methods used for it. The optimal approach is to use a diversity of
methods to advance our knowledge, Concilience (see E.O. Wilson) between the
different science could be increased with this approach and the bridge
between the social sciences and other natural science reinforced.

 

Klaus Jaffe Carbonell                                               
http://atta.labb.usb.ve/Klaus/klaus.htm

El 1/4/2014 9:13 AM, Wander Jager escribió:

Dear all 

Great and relevant question Edmund, thanks for sharing this. 

In my perception as a social scientist (originating from social psychology)
I see a progress in our understanding of how individual behaviour (and its
underlying drivers) gives rise to group dynamics and vice-versa. ABM helps
social science in structuring ideas on the relation between cognition,
social interaction and networks. As such it contributes to creating a more
full picture of how our species behaves and interacts, both among each other
as with our habitat. 


For me an important value of ABM resides in its capacity to formally link
small-level theories (processes), thus working towards a more integrated but
far from complete "manual" of some of our species behaviour. Rather than
contributing to our understanding of our own future, such a “manual” may
contribute to understanding how we can manage ourselves as a society
(shaping the future rather than predicting it). 

I seem to observe that several problems and challenges for society are
related to turbulences in behaviour. Understanding how we can deal with
these seems a legitimate challenge for the social sciences. 

Wishing you all a healthy and inspirational 2014 

Wander 


On 2-1-2014 16:52, Edmund Chattoe-Brown wrote: 

Dear All, 

What would you say are the best/most thought provoking/most persuasive 
attempts to test or build on existing theory using ABM? By this I mean 
not just _any_ ABM (which could be argued in a general sense to build 
theory) but one that has some clear and deliberate relationship with a 
reasonably well known piece of published theory (like labelling theory, 
Marxism, the Hobbesian state of nature, Friedman's claim that profit 
making firms will drive out non profit making firms, the theory of 
Habermasian communicative action and so on.) 

I'll summarise back to the list. 

Happy 2014, 

Edmund