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Hi Kevin et al

 

Here's what seems to be a recent and balanced article by Fred Pearce on the
isostatic aspects of this - not just sea level, but also glaciers, and I'd
also wonder about water table loading . the relevant literature here would
be that on seismic activity surrounding hydro dams. 

http://e360.yale.edu/feature/could_a_changing_climate_set_off_volcanoes_and_
quakes/2525/ 

 

Can't remember where I read the journal paper about warming oceans and
lubricant effects on earthquakes, but here is a link on rock water as a
lubricant. This is also one to watch in the fracking debate:

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/11/111130142245.htm 

 

. and here is one that refers to water temperature effects, but it is a blog
and not a PR paper .. though with fascinating data link on the increasing
strength of earthquakes globally:

http://www.roperld.com/science/EarthquakesGW.htm 

 

It's not just the lubricant effect to which I referred, it is also that
warmer water and land temps means expansion of the Earth's crust, and that
may be a factor in tectonic stability, though I'm not qualified to comment
on how sensitive that might be.

 

Interesting discussion here on current US freak weather:

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/06/30/509246/nbc-meteorologist-on-reco
rd-heat-wave-if-we-didnt-have-global-warming-we-wouldnt-see-this/ 

 

I get the general sense that the contrarians/denialists are playing it
rather quiet at the moment. Certainly, in the talks I give I've noted less
scepticism than there was post Cop15 (2009), where contrarianism had started
to become a spectator sport and absorbed time that was intended for
discussing issues more consistent with the consensus mainstream science. 

 

Alastair. 

 

From: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum
[mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Kevin Coleman
Sent: 03 July 2012 00:48
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: Re: Global extreme weather events

 

Hello Alastair, Chris et al,

Only two quick points to make and one request.
Alastair made some very quick references to the data and reasoned that
according to some sources the increased seismic activity was probably due to
the increased temperature of the water.
Funny how we know what is causing all these things to happen but can do
nothing (willingly) to reverse or stop them.

Second point: Chris has made the effort to educate the masses but the
general public have long ceased to be even mildly interested in climate
change explanations until such time as they find their house submerged under
water, their holiday cancelled due to hurricanes or volcanic ash or some
other such calamity which directly impinges upon them. Then and only then do
they take a mental note that it 'May' be due to climate change even when
some top notch climate scientist with all the bells and whistles comes along
to prove it. 
Sorry for the cynicism but its a fact. If you read the comments section on
most of these climate science sites there are always a plethora of rabid
climate denial monks mouthing on about how its all a green brigade scam to
stop the corporations from, making an 'honest' living. 

Finally the request is to Chris. Please can you post an alternative link to
your stories so I can access them without recourse to giving away all my
personal details to Facecrook. I do value my personal identity as it is mine
not Zucherburger's (or whatever his name is). Some things in life are
personal. Mine is my privacy and people like these social networking sites
with loads of small print are ruthless in selling your details to the
highest bidder for profit and I bet none of you has ever been paid for that
information. Replies welcomed.
Kind regards
Kev C
PS Chris, Please do not take my criticism of Facecrook personally. Your
efforts to inform are well appreciated. 

On 02/07/2012 17:02, Christopher Shaw wrote:

Thanks Alastair. 

 

On a similar theme can I point people to a facebook page I am using to
collate stories of extreme weather from around the globe. I call it 'This is
climate change' just to address the failure of mainstream media outlets to
call it for what it is.

 

http://www.facebook.com/pages/This-is-climate-change/386396024754408

 

 

Chris

From: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum
[mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Alastair McIntosh
Sent: 02 July 2012 16:14
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: Global extreme weather events

 

Dear CHE and Crisis Forum Folks 

 

I know that some of you like it when I circulate material I've researched
for other purposes. The following may be of topical interest. I prepared it
in relation to a forthcoming speaking tour and a panel that I serve on .
Apologies if not of interest.

 

Alastair.

 

 

.. I was checking their weather over there, and see that large areas of the
US are currently experiencing extreme weather events. In the UK, the period
April - June has been announced the wettest on record (turn up the cooker,
and the steam in the kitchen has to come down somewhere). 

 

That prompted my to update my awareness of what the general global trends
are looking like, for which purpose I always consider that the insurance
companies' data is the most interesting second only to the actual
measurements. The data may be of interest to the Panel - underscoring the
importance of continuing to hammer away at CO2 emissions, notwithstanding
the global economic turndown. 

 

I have to say that the data below, which is only from a quick search, is
considerably more dramatic than I had expected to find. We are speaking of
increases in severe events and insurance claims not of a few tens of %, but
of a few hundreds of % over the past 40 years or so. Even seismic activity
is increasing - an event that scientists are now realising may be consistent
with global warming for 2 main reasons - redistributed hydrostatic pressure
from sea level change, and reduced friction across rock shear planes due to
increased water temperatures. 

 

Alastair.

 

NOAA - May 2012 global temps 2nd warmest ever recorded

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/ 

 

Corporate reporting of weather-related risk:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/31/us-climate-risk-disclosure-idUSBRE
84U11220120531

 

Global trends in extreme weather events:

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/06/06/495713/extreme-weather-is-the-ne
w-climate-reality/

 

British insurance industry report on weather-event claims:

http://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/Surminiski.pdf

 

(There is a lot of similar insurance company material worldwide, but I don't
have time to research further than this just now. Google "extreme weather
events insurance" for more). 

 

 
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-- 
"Wisdom is what's left after we've run out of personal opinions." Cullen
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