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Depends on what you mean by a reactor. We should have a 'more energy out than in' experimental reactor at ITER in around 10 years so I think I would probably chance a tenner on a 
semi-commercial power plant reactor within 40.

Mind you if we have reasonably efficient and cheap PV 'cling film' by 2030 all bets are off.

Cheers

Tim


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On 21 Mar 2012, at 22:27, "Michael Kenward" <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

Message

Must be that time of the sunspot cycle again.

 

When I worked on fusion, 40 years ago, we hoped to have a reactor within 25 years. Now no one would put money on 40 years.

 

Fusion would be an interesting case study for scholars of public understanding.

 

MK

 

 

 

 

 

From: psci-com: on public engagement with science [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Holloway, Nick J
Sent: 2012-March-21 16:47
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: [PSCI-COM] Fusion: the quest for abundant, clean energy - Public lecture, Wed 4 April

 

PSCI-COM group members may be interested in this forthcoming lecture, organised by the Institute of Physics.

 

Fusion: the quest for abundant, clean energy
St Hugh’s College, Oxford
Wednesday 4 April 2012, 18:00 – 19:00

 

Of all of the proposals to satisfy the world’s ever growing demand for energy while simultaneously combating the likely devastation of climate change, fusion energy has the greatest potential to be economically viable and environmentally acceptable. Since Sir Arthur Stanley Eddington proposed that fusion powers the Sun in 1920, the UK has been at the forefront of fusion research and continues to lead international efforts to develop fusion as a clean and affordable source of energy. This public lecture will present how the scientific community is investigating two parallel routes to fusion.

 

Prof. Steve Cowley, Director of Culham Centre for Fusion Energy, will present the latest in fusion research – where the hot gas (or plasma) of fusion fuels is contained by magnetic fields.

 

Prof. Peter Roberts, Chief Scientist at AWE, will then discuss how the creation of the laser has opened up a second potential route to fusion energy and how laboratories around the world are working towards realising the goal of large-scale energy generation without fossil fuels.

 

These talks are aimed at the general public and will give a broad overview of the aims, technologies and opportunities related to fusion energy.

 

Although tickets are not required, space is limited and those wishing to book their place are asked to register with the IOP conference department (e-mail [log in to unmask]) with the subject heading of “Plasma Physics Group – Public Lecture”.

 

The public lecture is taking place within the Plasma Physics Group Annual Conference organised by the IOP Plasma Physics Group. The conference will take place at St Hugh’s College, Oxford, on 2–5 April 2012.

 

Please visit the website to obtain further information – http://plasma12.iop.org/86431

 

 

Best wishes,

 

Nick Holloway
Communications Group
Culham Centre for Fusion Energy
D3/1.25
Culham Science Centre
Abingdon
OX14 3DB

T  +44(0)1235 466232
[log in to unmask]
Web: www.ccfe.ac.uk

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