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The situation might (should?) improve if you required the chain to be aperiodic.

Regards

Leonid Bogachev

________________________________________
From: A UK-based worldwide e-mail broadcast system mailing list [[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Mario Ouwens [[log in to unmask]]
Sent: 11 November 2011 06:35
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: No unique solution transition matrices

Dear allstat,

Yesterday, I posted the question how to compute the 1 month transition matrix from the 3 month transition matrix. Yesterday, a person replied me saying that -1 times -1 is positive.

In this sentence, the idea is apparent that the question has no unique solution.

In more detail, suppose a 3 times 3 transition matrix

1 0 0
0 1 0
0 0 1

This matrix is equal to the product of three identity matrices, but ... also equal to multiplying

0 1 0
0 0 1
1 0 0

Three times and also equal to multiplyint

0 0 1
1 0 0
0 1 0

Three times.

Hence, knowing the 3 month matrix does in no way mean knowing the 1 month transition matix.

Many thanks for attention and providing me the guide to the answer that I can't solve the problem uniquely,

Mario


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