Dear Vladimir,
¡¡¡¡There's an error in the last letter. The detailed models in family A and family C were not absolutely same. However, this made few effects on the final BMS results(RFX). I meant that family A was always much better than family C.
       Considering the reliability, I did BMS (both RFX and FFX) again. This time Family A and family C, family B and family D had the same models in details.
       Family A included three models: A1(modulation on backward connection from DLPFC to ACC ), A2 (modulation on forward connection from ACC to DLPFC ), A3 ( modulation on both backward and forward connection between DLPFC and ACC). Family C was the same with family A except for the disconnected source.
       Return to my former question: if disconnected source doesn't affect the model, and if family A and family C have the same models except for the disconnected source. In this case, I think family A and family C will get similar performances. However, family A turned out to be much better than family C. It was this that confused me much. How do you think about this question?
¡¡¡¡May you a happy weekend!

¡¡¡¡Haoran.

At 2011-07-15 20:22:14£¬"Vladimir Litvak" <[log in to unmask]> wrote: >Dear Haoran, > >From your schemes it's not clear what is the difference between A and >C or between B and D. Also it's not clear how the models within each >family differed so one thing you need to make sure is that you did >your comparisons correctly. However, assuming the result is valid I >would definitely interpret it with your interpretation (2). Namely, >there is no evidence for the necessity of the hidden source to explain >the data. Disconnected hidden source does not affect the model so your >model A could as well be without the hidden source at all (but you >were right to include the source without connecting it). > >Vladimir > > > >2011/7/15 ·ÉÄñ <[log in to unmask]>: >> Dear SPM's users, >> ¡¡¡¡I got some results using dynamic causal modeling (DCM for ERP,MEG). >> However, I was surprised at the results. I built four basic families of DCM >> (see attachment DCM_Model.jpg),  expected the best model would appear in >> family B or D. To my surprise, family A turned out to be the best (see >> attachment bms_family). Then I inferred: >> ¡¡¡¡1. The hidden source might latently present several other subcortical >> sources which might closely related to my experiment. Moreover, family A had >> the least limitations of the connections between hidden source and other >> non-hidden sources. Finally, it became the best family of the four. >> ¡¡¡¡2. Family A was had much less connections relative to Family B and D, so >> its model complexity was lower. Finally, it became the best family of the >> four. >> ¡¡¡¡Are the inferences above reasonable? Or what's the role of the hidden >> source when it has no connections between other sources in DCM? Any of your >> help will be greatly appreciated. >> ¡¡¡¡Thank you! >> >> -- >> Haoran LI (MS) >> Brain Imaging Lab, >> Research Center for Learning Science, >> Southeast University >> 2 Si Pai Lou , Nanjing, 210096, P.R.China