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My usual recommendation: Serenity (it is not easy to translate "Gelassenheit"), searching for "evidence" and arguments and the failures we did in past projections, being more careful in calculations, and of course Mechanics last paragraph (p.91). http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/reprint/16/5/83.pdf Best Regards Markus 1. see attachment 2. see attachment: US population 2050 percentage 65+: 20,2 % = Germany 2007 Population age structure Population: 65 years old and over % of total population Länder 2007 Australia 13.1 Austria 17.0 Belgium 17.1 Canada 13.4 Czech Republic 14.5 Denmark 15.5 Finland 16.5 France 16.4 Germany 20.2 Greece 18.6 Hungary 16.1 Iceland 11.5 Ireland 10.8 Italy 19.7 Japan 21.5 Korea 9.9 Luxembourg 14.0 Mexico 5.5 Netherlands 14.6 New Zealand 12.5 Norway 14.6 Poland 13.4 Portugal 17.3 Slovak Republic 11.9 Spain 16.6 Sweden 17.4 Switzerland 16.3 Turkey 7.1 United Kingdom 16.0 United States 12.6 Source OECD HEALTH DATA 2009, June 09 3. http://content.healthaffairs.org/content/22/3/89.full.pdf http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2010/10/25/health-care-prices-ignored-once-again/ Dr.Markus Narath Steiermärkische Krankenanstaltengesellschaft mbH Stiftingtalstrasse 4 - 6 8010 Graz #43 316 340 5212 [log in to unmask] Der "angezeigte Name" wurde von meinem Arbeitgeber vorgegeben. The "displayed name" has been configured by my employer. ________________________________ Von: Evidence based health (EBH) [mailto:[log in to unmask]] Im Auftrag von Ash Paul Gesendet: Montag, 18. Juli 2011 08:02 An: [log in to unmask] Betreff: Re: solution to health care cost crisis: technical vs.philosphical..