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Please find a reminder of the next Royal Statistical Society Manchester Local Group meeting being held this Wednesday. --------------------------------------- Date: Wednesday 23rd February 2011 Time: 16.00 - 17.00 Venue: G.207 Alan Turing Building, Oxford Road, The University of Manchester Dr Jeremy Oakley School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Sheffield "Uncertainty in health economic modelling" Abstract Health economic models are regularly used to assess the cost-effectiveness of new treatments. These assessments inform guidelines for healthcare provision issued by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE). Two sources of uncertainty in such models are uncertainty in model inputs, and uncertainty in model structure. In this talk I will review the role of economic modelling in healthcare decision making and discuss the treatment of both types of uncertainty. Some novel tools for dealing with the more challenging problem of model structure uncertainty will be presented. Tea/Coffee and Biscuits will be served from 15.30 on the first floor Atrium Bridge All are welcome to attend. For more information, please visit: http://www.rss-manchester.org/2010-11_session.html You may leave the list at any time by sending the command SIGNOFF allstat to [log in to unmask], leaving the subject line blank.