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One reason for more people being on DLA is that people now survive some 
conditions for longer than they used to - Cystic Fibrosis for example, 
where most now live into their 30s when not long ago most died before 
15. Survival from stroke is getting better, but most survivors have 
significant disability.   Better rates of take up by people who were 
always eligible but didn't claim.  There are multiple different rates of 
DLA, ranging from £18.95 a week to £121.25 and the diagram lumps them 
all together.  There was a census some time ago which suggested that 
there were 6 million people living in the UK with significant 
disability, so these figures should be seen in that context.

Martin Rathfelder
Director
Socialist Health Association
22 Blair Road
Manchester
M16 8NS
0161 286 1926
www.sochealth.co.uk

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Paul Spicker wrote:
>  
>
> The Cabinet Office has issued an illuminating report on poverty, /The 
> state of the nation: poverty, worklessness and welfare dependency in 
> the UK, / which can be found 
> at http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/media/410872/web-poverty-report.pdf  
> (it's a one-megabute download).  A picture is worth a thousand words, 
> and the graphs on page 34 and 35 are models of their kind.  Here's one 
> by way of illustration:
>
>  
>
>  
>
> Perhaps the size of the last disk reflects an alarming increase in 
> obesity among DLA claimants?
>
>  
>
> Quite apart from the creative use of graphics, the report's use of 
> statistics might excite some comment:
>
>     * there is no definition of what an "out of work" benefit is (it's
>       not, it seems, the same as an "earnings replacement" benefit for
>       people of working age, but it does seem to include JSA, IB and
>       Income Support);
>     * the figures don't quite tally with figures for Great Britain on
>       NOMIS - my guess is that they relate either to England or to
>       England and Wales;
>     * the claim that long term dependency is increasing is a little
>       surprising when the numbers of claimants receiving JSA for over
>       2 years fell from from 141,000 long-term claimants on JSA in
>       1999 to  25,000 in 2009, and 
>     * I'm not sure that it is "strong evidence" of an
>       intergenerational cycle of disadvantage to claim that 27% of
>       children of multiply disadvantaged parents (deprived on six
>       counts) have at least disadvantages of their own.  That seems to
>       me to imply that 73% don't, that by the third generation the
>       expected continuity will be 27% of 27%, which is 7.3%, and that
>       even if we can't be confident of that calculation, by the fourth
>       generation the dilution of the cohort will leave the
>       pattern indistinguishable from the rest of the population. 
>       Which, of course, is pretty much what long-term cohort studies
>       have told us before.  
>
>  
>
> Paul Spicker
>
>  
>
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