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Dear Colleagues May I remind you that you are warmly invited to the following S3RI special seminar at the University of Southampton on Thursday 21 January. Directions and a map can be found on: http://www.southampton.ac.uk/about/whereissoton/index.html The University of Southampton Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute (S3RI) SPECIAL SEMINAR Thursday 21st January at 4pm in the Maths Building (Highfield Campus, building 54) room 4A, followed by a drinks reception Professor David Firth (University of Warwick) “Getting it right on election night” ABSTRACT On the day of the UK General Election in May 2005, broadcasters were able to predict the Labour majority of 66 seats, even before any votes had been counted. In this talk some of the statistical methods behind that prediction will be described. You may leave the list at any time by sending the command SIGNOFF allstat to [log in to unmask], leaving the subject line blank.