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--------------070003080103000003020908--
=========================================================================
Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2009 17:31:55 -0000
Reply-To: Oliver Tickell <[log in to unmask]>
Sender: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum <[log in to unmask]>
From: Oliver Tickell <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: Re: [Fwd: Eliminating international competitiveness concerns in
climate policy]
Comments: cc: [log in to unmask]
In-Reply-To: <[log in to unmask]>
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To regulate GHG emissions in a clear and consistent way, there are two
choices - to go to the original source of the emissions (upstream) such =
as
fossil fuel production, or to the point of final consumption of the =
product
or service embodying GHG emissions (downstream).
=20
Philosophically both are essentially equivalent. Either way, the price =
ends
up being paid by the consumer, either directly (downstream) or with the
upstream cost passed on downstream via the supply chain.
=20
The difference is that the upstream approach is quick cheap and simple =
to
put into effect, principally by controlling fossil fuel production at or
close to source, for example at oil refineries. The downstream approach
involves a massive, expensive and fraud / error prone carbon accounting
exercise. For this practical reason the upstream approach is by far the =
best
option. It is also equally effective at eliminating concerns over
international competitiveness, provided that the upstream controls are
applied equally to all producers anywhere in the world. This is all =
explored
in greater detail in my book Kyoto2.
=20
Oliver Tickell
Kyoto2 - for an effective Climate Protocol
www.kyoto2.org <http://www.kyoto2.org/> /
=20
_____ =20
From: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum
[mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of CHRIS KEENE
Sent: 27 January 2009 10:48
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: [Fwd: Eliminating international competitiveness concerns in =
climate
policy]
-------- Original Message --------=20
Subject: Eliminating international competitiveness concerns in
climate policy=09
Date: Mon, 26 Jan 2009 10:11:56 +0100=09
From: Glen Peters <mailto:[log in to unmask]>
<[log in to unmask]>=09
Reply-To: Glen Peters <mailto:[log in to unmask]>
<[log in to unmask]>=09
To: Climate Change Info Mailing List <mailto:[log in to unmask]>
<[log in to unmask]>=09
=20
Eliminating international competitiveness concerns in climate policy*
Countries introducing emissions trading or carbon tax policies typically
=91carve out=92 large areas of economic activity, and provide =
=91compensation=92
particularly to trade-exposed and energy-intensive industries. This is
based on concerns about international competitiveness being eroded, and =
the
resulting assumption that there=92s a =91trade-off=92 between cutting =
greenhouse
gases and cutting jobs.
Job losses imply activity shifting to other countries not applying =
carbon
policies. Jobs and emissions shift overseas, leading to clear economic
costs and job losses for those countries applying such policies, but =
little
or no global reduction in emissions. This is no =91trade-off=92. =
It=92s just a
really bad deal.
This so-called =91trade-off=92 arises because such policies target =
national
production of emissions. This production model only works when all
countries act together. They haven=92t, and they won=92t. In fact the =
Kyoto
Protocol itself said that they won=92t. History attests to this =
reality.
Even if the supporters of the UNFCCC and Kyoto did not see it then, we =
can
see it clearly now. The production model has failed, both within Europe =
and
Australia (because of major policy =91carve-outs=92 and exemptions), and =
more
generally (because countries like the USA, China, India, etc, have not
adopted similar climate policies).=20
This is basic economics. When nations act at different times or to
different degrees, production models undermine trade competitiveness of
early movers compared with others. Late movers don=92t follow suit so =
they
can milk trade gains out of early movers. This ruins chances for a =
global
deal.
But we can do better. This =91trade-off=92 is completely avoidable. =
Countries
can reduce greenhouse gases without any carbon or jobs leakage by =
targeting
their consumption of embedded emissions rather than production.
By definition, global emissions production equals global emissions
consumption. So we have two roads to get to the same goal: reduction =
in
global emissions. The production road only works when all countries act
together. In contrast, the consumption road works even if countries act
unilaterally. Why? Because it is designed to eliminate international
competitiveness concerns.=20
So why pursue a production-based model given its now-long history of
failure? It=92s even less likely to work as the world economy slides =
into
recession. Countries won=92t want to suffer more job losses. =20
The emissions consumption model is practical. It starts with the =
production
information required under current policies. It can use existing
value-added tax (or similar) systems to pass carbon cost signals
transparently down the supply chain to consumers; exports are =
zero-rated;
and it imposes a trade competitiveness-neutral border tax adjustment on
competing imports. This system is already applied in countries with VAT =
or
similar taxes. Like such systems, it is trade competitiveness neutral.
A consumption model gets us to the same global end-point as a production
model. But basic economics tells us that it=92s much more likely to get =
us
there. Isn=92t it high time for the UNFCCC to move to =91Plan B=92 =96 =
a
consumption model? =91Plan A=92 isn=92t working.
* This is a modified and shortened version of an article published =
in
The Australian Financial Review on 15 January 2009.
For further reading:
See attachment
<http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/author.asp?id=3D5613>
http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/author.asp?id=3D5613
<http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note01.pdf>
http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note01.pdf
<http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note02.pdf>
http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note02.pdf
http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note03.pdf
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/es072023k
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9280-1
For more information contact:
Geoff Carmody, <mailto:[log in to unmask]>
[log in to unmask]
Glen Peters, <mailto:[log in to unmask]> =
[log in to unmask]
Glen Peters
Senior Research Fellow
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research - Oslo =
(CICERO)
P.O. Box 1129 Blindern
N-0318 Oslo
Norway
Phone: +47 2285 8780
Cell: +47 9289 1638
Fax: +47 2285 8751
E-mail: <mailto:[log in to unmask]> [log in to unmask]
You are currently subscribed to climate-l as: [log in to unmask]
Go to your membership <https://lists.iisd.ca/read/?forum=3Dclimate-l>
options.
To unsubscribe click
<https://lists.iisd.ca/u?id=3D363727.845a7b2151c6bd28babf4f323ebe2323&n=3D=
T&l=3Dcl
imate-l&o=3D852825> here.
<http://www.climate-l.org/> climate-l.org=20
- http://www.climate-l.org <http://www.climate-l.org/> - A =
knowledgebase of
International Climate Change Activities, provided by IISD in cooperation
with the United Nations System Chief Executives Board for Coordination =
(CEB)
Secretariat
- Subscribe to IISD Reporting Services' free newsletters and lists for
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http://www.iisd.ca/email/subscribe.htm
=20
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<DIV dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D890152217-27012009>To regulate GHG emissions in a clear and =
consistent=20
way, there are two choices - to go to the original source of the =
emissions=20
(upstream) such as fossil fuel production, or to the point of final =
consumption=20
of the product or service embodying GHG emissions=20
(downstream).</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D890152217-27012009></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D890152217-27012009>Philosophically both are essentially =
equivalent. Either=20
way, the price ends up being paid by the consumer, either directly=20
(downstream) or with the upstream cost passed on downstream via the =
supply=20
chain.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D890152217-27012009></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D890152217-27012009>The difference is that the upstream approach =
is quick=20
cheap and simple to put into effect, principally by controlling fossil =
fuel=20
production at or close to source, for example at oil refineries. The =
downstream=20
approach involves a massive, expensive and fraud / error prone carbon =
accounting=20
exercise. For this practical reason the upstream approach is by far the =
best=20
option. It is also equally effective at eliminating concerns over =
international=20
competitiveness, provided that the upstream controls are applied equally =
to all=20
producers anywhere in the world. </SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2><SPAN class=3D890152217-27012009>This is all explored in =
greater detail in=20
my book <EM>Kyoto2</EM>.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><!-- Converted from text/plain format -->
<P><FONT size=3D2>Oliver Tickell<BR>Kyoto2 - for an effective Climate=20
Protocol<BR><A href=3D"http://www.kyoto2.org/">www.kyoto2.org<SPAN=20
class=3D890152217-27012009>/</A></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D890152217-27012009></SPAN> </P></FONT>
<P>
<HR tabIndex=3D-1>
</P>
<P><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><B>From:</B> Discussion list for the =
Crisis Forum=20
[mailto:[log in to unmask]] <B>On Behalf Of </B>CHRIS=20
KEENE<BR><B>Sent:</B> 27 January 2009 10:48<BR><B>To:</B>=20
[log in to unmask]<BR><B>Subject:</B> [Fwd: Eliminating =
international=20
competitiveness concerns in climate policy]<BR></FONT><BR></P></DIV>
<DIV></DIV><BR><BR>-------- Original Message --------=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 border=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TH vAlign=3Dbaseline noWrap align=3Dright>Subject: </TH>
<TD>Eliminating international competitiveness concerns in climate=20
policy</TD></TR>
<TR>
<TH vAlign=3Dbaseline noWrap align=3Dright>Date: </TH>
<TD>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 10:11:56 +0100</TD></TR>
<TR>
<TH vAlign=3Dbaseline noWrap align=3Dright>From: </TH>
<TD>Glen Peters <A class=3Dmoz-txt-link-rfc2396E=20
=
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]"><[log in to unmask]&g=
t;</A></TD></TR>
<TR>
<TH vAlign=3Dbaseline noWrap align=3Dright>Reply-To: </TH>
<TD>Glen Peters <A class=3Dmoz-txt-link-rfc2396E=20
=
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]"><[log in to unmask]&g=
t;</A></TD></TR>
<TR>
<TH vAlign=3Dbaseline noWrap align=3Dright>To: </TH>
<TD>Climate Change Info Mailing List <A =
class=3Dmoz-txt-link-rfc2396E=20
=
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]"><[log in to unmask]></=
A></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><BR><BR>
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<P> </P><BR>
<DIV class=3DSection1>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><B><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
12pt">Eliminating=20
international competitiveness concerns in climate=20
policy*<O:P></O:P></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>Countries introducing emissions =
trading or=20
carbon tax policies typically =91carve out=92 large areas of economic =
activity, and=20
provide =91compensation=92 particularly to trade-exposed and =
energy-intensive=20
industries. This is based on concerns about international =
competitiveness=20
being eroded, and the resulting assumption that there=92s a =
=91trade-off=92 between=20
cutting greenhouse gases and cutting jobs.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>Job losses imply activity =
shifting to other=20
countries not applying carbon policies. Jobs and emissions shift =
overseas,=20
leading to clear economic costs and job losses for those countries =
applying such=20
policies, but little or no global reduction in emissions. This is =
no=20
=91trade-off=92. It=92s just a really bad =
deal.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>This so-called =91trade-off=92 =
arises because=20
such policies target national <B>production</B> of emissions. This =
production model only works when all countries act together. They =
haven=92t,=20
and they won=92t. In fact the Kyoto Protocol itself said that they =
won=92t. History attests to this reality.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>Even if the supporters of the =
UNFCCC and=20
Kyoto did not see it then, we can see it clearly now. The =
production model=20
has failed, both within Europe and Australia (because of major policy=20
=91carve-outs=92 and exemptions), and more generally (because countries =
like the=20
USA, China, India, etc, have not adopted similar climate=20
policies). <O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>This is basic economics. =
When nations=20
act at different times or to different degrees, production models =
undermine=20
trade competitiveness of early movers compared with others. Late =
movers=20
don=92t follow suit so they can milk trade gains out of early =
movers. This=20
ruins chances for a global deal.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>But we can do better. This =
=91trade-off=92=20
is completely avoidable. Countries can reduce greenhouse gases =
without=20
<I>any </I>carbon or jobs leakage by targeting their consumption of =
embedded=20
emissions rather than production.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>By definition, global emissions=20
<B>production</B> equals global emissions <B>consumption</B>. So =
we have=20
two roads to get to the same goal: reduction in global =
emissions. =20
The production road only works when all countries act together. In =
contrast, the consumption road works even if countries act =
unilaterally. =20
Why? <I>Because it is designed to eliminate international =
competitiveness=20
concerns</I>. <O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>So why pursue a production-based =
model given=20
its now-long history of failure? It=92s even less likely to work =
as the=20
world economy slides into recession. Countries won=92t want to =
suffer more=20
job losses. <O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>The emissions consumption model =
is=20
practical. It starts with the production information required =
under=20
current policies. It can use existing value-added tax (or similar) =
systems=20
to pass carbon cost signals transparently down the supply chain to =
consumers;=20
exports are zero-rated; and it imposes a trade competitiveness-neutral =
border=20
tax adjustment on competing imports. This system is already applied in =
countries=20
with VAT or similar taxes. Like such systems, it is trade =
competitiveness=20
neutral.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US>A consumption model gets us to =
the same=20
global end-point as a production model. But basic economics tells =
us that=20
it=92s much more likely to get us there. Isn=92t it high time for =
the UNFCCC=20
to move to =91Plan B=92 =96 a consumption model? =91Plan A=92 =
isn=92t=20
working.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 8pt">* This is a =
modified=20
and shortened version of an article published in <I>The Australian =
Financial=20
Review</I> on 15 January 2009.<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US></SPAN><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt">For =
further=20
reading:<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt">See=20
attachment<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><A=20
href=3D"http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/author.asp?id=3D5613"><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: =
rgb(0,11,255)">http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/author.asp?id=3D5613</SPAN=
></A><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><A=20
href=3D"http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note01.=
pdf"><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: =
rgb(0,11,255)">http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_=
Note01.pdf</SPAN></A><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><A=20
href=3D"http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note02.=
pdf"><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: =
rgb(0,11,255)">http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_=
Note02.pdf</SPAN></A><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><U><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: rgb(0,11,255)"><A=20
href=3D"http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note03.=
pdf">http://onlineopinion.com.au/documents/articles/GCA_Policy_Note03.pdf=
</A><O:P></O:P></SPAN></U></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><U><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: rgb(0,11,255)"><A=20
href=3D"http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/es072023k">http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/es=
072023k</A><O:P></O:P></SPAN></U></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><U><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: rgb(0,11,255)"><A =
class=3Dmoz-txt-link-freetext=20
href=3D"http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9280-1">http://dx.doi.org/10=
.1007/s10584-007-9280-1</A><O:P></O:P></SPAN></U></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt">For =
more information=20
contact:<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt">Geoff =
Carmody, <A=20
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]"><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: =
rgb(0,11,255)">[log in to unmask]</SPAN></A><O:P></O:P></SPAN><=
/P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt">Glen Peters, =
</SPAN><SPAN=20
lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><A=20
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]"><SPAN lang=3DNO-BOK=20
style=3D"COLOR: rgb(0,11,255); TEXT-DECORATION: =
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'Arial','sans-serif'"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><O:P></O:P></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><O:P></O:P></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">Glen=20
Peters<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">Senior=20
Research Fellow<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">Center=20
for International Climate and Environmental Research - Oslo=20
(CICERO)<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">P.O.=20
Box 1129 Blindern<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">N-0318=20
Oslo<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black">Norway<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">Phone:=20
+47 2285 8780<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">Cell:=20
+47 9289 1638<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">Fax:=20
+47 2285 8751<O:P></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN lang=3DEN-US style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: =
black">E-mail:=20
<A href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]"><SPAN=20
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=========================================================================
Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2009 08:42:31 +0000
Reply-To: CHRIS KEENE <[log in to unmask]>
Sender: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum <[log in to unmask]>
From: CHRIS KEENE <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: [POSSIBLE SPAM] Grist What the Obama presidency means
MIME-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed
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"...we'll likely have to virtually eliminate U.S. carbon emissions by 2050"
I think this target is far too weak. We need a zero carbon world, as
fast as we can.
But what are the implications of radical publications such as Grist
publishing such weak targets?
Some psychologists say we can't tell the truth because people won't
believe us, they will think we are crazy, but if we all tell lies then
no-one is ever going to hear the truth.
Do people refuse to believe the truth because it doesn't give much
hope? Could we change their minds by getting them to engage in a
thought experiment- 'Imagine we are at war' Then the whole economy
would be based around two things - survival of current generations, and
avoiding abrupt climate change so that future generations have a better
life.
Jonathan Neale from the Campaign against Climate Change said in a talk
in Poznan that we may have 10 to 30 years to avoid abrupt climate
change, maybe less than 10!, but if we did what we did in the war, when
every major government took over the whole economy, we could avoid it.
He pointed out that the bank bailout had cost 2 trillion and with that
we could provide 200 million jobs world wide, which would be enough to
avoid abrupt climate change
Chris
http://gristmill.grist.org/print/2009/1/21/212058/100?show_comments=no
Gristmill
Radicalism or failure
What the Obama presidency means
Posted by David Roberts at 9:40 AM on 22 Jan 2009
Read more about: Barack Obama | climate | politics
For several days I've been pondering how to write something interesting
or insightful about Obama and What It All Means -- something that hasn't
been written a hundred other places. (The internets are choked with
Obama-related profundity right now.)
In the end, though, profundity is not what's needed. Obama did plenty of
that on the trail, and the very fact of his ascension to office speaks
for itself.
Instead, what's called for is some bluntness. The Obama presidency is in
a political vise grip, squeezed between two facts:
1. The dire situation described by the fourth IPCC report is, by all
indications, an underestimate. We are careening toward catastrophe, and
to avoid it we'll likely have to virtually eliminate U.S. carbon
emissions by 2050, while also engineering a whole range of difficult
international agreements. If we don't, it's not exaggerating to say that
unprecedented human misery will result, potentially putting at risk the
very preconditions of human civilization.
2. There is nothing close to the public or political support
necessary to pass the kind of sweeping policies necessary to eliminate
America's emissions. The U.S. political class, to say nothing of the
public, is nowhere near understanding or internalizing the implications
of fact No. 1. By and large climate change is still viewed as a nagging,
marginal, far-off problem to be addressed to the extent (and only to the
extent) that it doesn't cause any economic dislocation.
This is just another way of rephrasing Gore's famous warning that the
politically possible falls well short of what's necessary. The
politically possible has moved forward considerably with Obama taking
office, Pelosi running the House, Waxman running the Energy Committee,
Markey running the Energy Subcommittee, and competent professionals in
charge of executive branch agencies. But it is still far, far short.
Even many people in the green world don't really get the existential
urgency involved.
Over the next four/eight years, Obama (with help from many others) will
bridge that gap, and we'll have a shot at a prosperous green future. Or
he won't, and our children and grandchildren will inherit a world filled
with unthinkable suffering.
That's it.
=========================================================================
Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2009 10:41:25 +0000
Reply-To: Tom Barker <[log in to unmask]>
Sender: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum <[log in to unmask]>
From: Tom Barker <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: Re: [POSSIBLE SPAM] Grist What the Obama presidency means
Comments: To: CHRIS KEENE <[log in to unmask]>
In-Reply-To: <[log in to unmask]>
Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: multipart/alternative;
boundary="=====================_5870718==.ALT"
--=====================_5870718==.ALT
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"; format=flowed
Maybe I'm an innocent, but I think that not telling the truth is the
reason no-one believes much of what the government, big business or
my boss say. Telling people different stories all the time is at the
root of the problem, and an anchor for the denialists. We need to
get the truth out there, and justify it later as necessary. Some
psychologists need their head examined (geddit?).
Cheers, Tom
At 08:42 28/01/2009, CHRIS KEENE wrote:
>"...we'll likely have to virtually eliminate U.S. carbon emissions by 2050"
>
>I think this target is far too weak. We need a zero carbon world, as
>fast as we can.
>But what are the implications of radical publications such as Grist
>publishing such weak targets?
>
>Some psychologists say we can't tell the truth because people won't
>believe us, they will think we are crazy, but if we all tell lies
>then no-one is ever going to hear the truth.
>
>Do people refuse to believe the truth because it doesn't give much
>hope? Could we change their minds by getting them to engage in a
>thought experiment- 'Imagine we are at war' Then the whole economy
>would be based around two things - survival of current generations,
>and avoiding abrupt climate change so that future generations have a
>better life.
>Jonathan Neale from the Campaign against Climate Change said in a
>talk in Poznan that we may have 10 to 30 years to avoid abrupt
>climate change, maybe less than 10!, but if we did what we did in
>the war, when every major government took over the whole economy, we
>could avoid it.
>He pointed out that the bank bailout had cost 2 trillion and with
>that we could provide 200 million jobs world wide, which would be
>enough to avoid abrupt climate change
>
>Chris
>
>http://gristmill.grist.org/print/2009/1/21/212058/100?show_comments=no
>
>Gristmill
>Radicalism or failure
>What the Obama presidency means
>Posted by David Roberts at 9:40 AM on 22 Jan 2009
>Read more about: Barack Obama | climate | politics
>
>
>For several days I've been pondering how to write something
>interesting or insightful about Obama and What It All Means --
>something that hasn't been written a hundred other places. (The
>internets are choked with Obama-related profundity right now.)
>
>In the end, though, profundity is not what's needed. Obama did
>plenty of that on the trail, and the very fact of his ascension to
>office speaks for itself.
>
>Instead, what's called for is some bluntness. The Obama presidency
>is in a political vise grip, squeezed between two facts:
>
> 1. The dire situation described by the fourth IPCC report is, by
> all indications, an underestimate. We are careening toward
> catastrophe, and to avoid it we'll likely have to virtually
> eliminate U.S. carbon emissions by 2050, while also engineering a
> whole range of difficult international agreements. If we don't,
> it's not exaggerating to say that unprecedented human misery will
> result, potentially putting at risk the very preconditions of human
> civilization.
>
> 2. There is nothing close to the public or political support
> necessary to pass the kind of sweeping policies necessary to
> eliminate America's emissions. The U.S. political class, to say
> nothing of the public, is nowhere near understanding or
> internalizing the implications of fact No. 1. By and large climate
> change is still viewed as a nagging, marginal, far-off problem to
> be addressed to the extent (and only to the extent) that it doesn't
> cause any economic dislocation.
>
>This is just another way of rephrasing Gore's famous warning that
>the politically possible falls well short of what's necessary. The
>politically possible has moved forward considerably with Obama
>taking office, Pelosi running the House, Waxman running the Energy
>Committee, Markey running the Energy Subcommittee, and competent
>professionals in charge of executive branch agencies. But it is
>still far, far short. Even many people in the green world don't
>really get the existential urgency involved.
>
>Over the next four/eight years, Obama (with help from many others)
>will bridge that gap, and we'll have a shot at a prosperous green
>future. Or he won't, and our children and grandchildren will inherit
>a world filled with unthinkable suffering.
>
>That's it.
Tom Barker; associate editor
Fourth World Review - a Transition Journal
16 Marina Drive
Upton
Chester
CH2 1RJ
Editor: Jon Hughes ([log in to unmask])
Associate editors: Tom Barker ([log in to unmask]), Peter North
([log in to unmask]), and John Papworth ([log in to unmask] )
For small communities and the human spirit
--=====================_5870718==.ALT
Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii"
<html>
<body>
Maybe I'm an innocent, but I think that not telling the truth is the
reason no-one believes much of what the government, big business or my
boss say. Telling people different stories all the time is at the
root of the problem, and an anchor for the denialists. We need to
get the truth out there, and justify it later as necessary. Some
psychologists need their head examined (geddit?).<br>
Cheers, Tom<br><br>
At 08:42 28/01/2009, CHRIS KEENE wrote:<br>
<blockquote type=cite class=cite cite="">"...we'll likely have to
virtually eliminate U.S. carbon emissions by 2050"<br><br>
I think this target is far too weak. We need a zero carbon world, as fast
as we can. <br>
But what are the implications of radical publications such as Grist
publishing such weak targets?<br><br>
Some psychologists say we can't tell the truth because people won't
believe us, they will think we are crazy, but if we all tell lies then
no-one is ever going to hear the truth.<br><br>
Do people refuse to believe the truth because it doesn't give much
hope? Could we change their minds by getting them to engage in a
thought experiment- 'Imagine we are at war' Then the whole economy
would be based around two things - survival of current generations, and
avoiding abrupt climate change so that future generations have a better
life. <br>
Jonathan Neale from the Campaign against Climate Change said in a talk in
Poznan that we may have 10 to 30 years to avoid abrupt climate change,
maybe less than 10!, but if we did what we did in the war, when every
major government took over the whole economy, we could avoid it.
<br>
He pointed out that the bank bailout had cost 2 trillion and with that we
could provide 200 million jobs world wide, which would be enough to avoid
abrupt climate change<br><br>
Chris<br><br>
<a href="http://gristmill.grist.org/print/2009/1/21/212058/100?show_comments=no" eudora="autourl">
http://gristmill.grist.org/print/2009/1/21/212058/100?show_comments=no</a>
<br><br>
Gristmill<br>
Radicalism or failure<br>
What the Obama presidency means<br>
Posted by David Roberts at 9:40 AM on 22 Jan 2009<br>
Read more about: Barack Obama | climate | politics<br><br>
<br>
For several days I've been pondering how to write something interesting
or insightful about Obama and What It All Means -- something that hasn't
been written a hundred other places. (The internets are choked with
Obama-related profundity right now.)<br><br>
In the end, though, profundity is not what's needed. Obama did plenty of
that on the trail, and the very fact of his ascension to office speaks
for itself.<br><br>
Instead, what's called for is some bluntness. The Obama presidency is in
a political vise grip, squeezed between two facts:<br><br>
1. The dire situation described by the fourth IPCC report is, by
all indications, an underestimate. We are careening toward catastrophe,
and to avoid it we'll likely have to virtually eliminate U.S. carbon
emissions by 2050, while also engineering a whole range of difficult
international agreements. If we don't, it's not exaggerating to say that
unprecedented human misery will result, potentially putting at risk the
very preconditions of human civilization.<br><br>
2. There is nothing close to the public or political support
necessary to pass the kind of sweeping policies necessary to eliminate
America's emissions. The U.S. political class, to say nothing of the
public, is nowhere near understanding or internalizing the implications
of fact No. 1. By and large climate change is still viewed as a nagging,
marginal, far-off problem to be addressed to the extent (and only to the
extent) that it doesn't cause any economic dislocation.<br><br>
This is just another way of rephrasing Gore's famous warning that the
politically possible falls well short of what's necessary. The
politically possible has moved forward considerably with Obama taking
office, Pelosi running the House, Waxman running the Energy Committee,
Markey running the Energy Subcommittee, and competent professionals in
charge of executive branch agencies. But it is still far, far short. Even
many people in the green world don't really get the existential urgency
involved.<br><br>
Over the next four/eight years, Obama (with help from many others) will
bridge that gap, and we'll have a shot at a prosperous green future. Or
he won't, and our children and grandchildren will inherit a world filled
with unthinkable suffering.<br><br>
That's it.<br>
</blockquote>
<x-sigsep><p></x-sigsep>
<font face="Century Gothic, Avant Garde">Tom Barker; associate editor
<br>
<i>Fourth World Review - a Transition Journal<br>
</i>16 Marina Drive<br>
Upton<br>
Chester<br>
CH2 1RJ<br>
Editor: Jon Hughes ([log in to unmask])<br>
Associate editors: Tom Barker ([log in to unmask]), Peter North
([log in to unmask]), and John Papworth ([log in to unmask]
)<br>
<i>For small communities and the human spirit</i></font> </body>
</html>
--=====================_5870718==.ALT--
=========================================================================
Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2009 11:19:04 +0000
Reply-To: George Marshall <[log in to unmask]>
Sender: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum <[log in to unmask]>
From: George Marshall <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: Bristol Climate Change Psychology Conference
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--------------050302080207010209070906
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Please forward to anyone you think might be interested.
A reminder of the forthcoming conference 7th March 2009, at University
of Western England:
*The Psychological and Political Challenge of
Facing Climate Change*
Speakers, workshops and presentations:
George Marshall, Founder, Climate Outreach and Information Network,
author of "Carbon Detox"-- Sleepwalking into Disaster -- Strategies of
Evasion and Denial in Social Attitudes to Climate Change
Paul Hoggett, Psychotherapist, SIP/Lincoln, Professor of Politics,
UWE, and Director of CPSS -- The Politics and Emotions of Climate Change
Denial
Mary-Jayne Rust -Jungian analyst, Ecopsychologist -- The Myths by
Which We Live, or Die? -- The Psychological Dimensions of Our
Environmental Crisis
Conference Chairman: Adrian Tait, Member: Guild of Psychotherapists,
Transition activist
There will also be six very interesting workshops and a carbon
footprint exercise available to attendees (see Programme and Themed
Groups links below)
For full details here is the website link:
_www.uwe.ac.uk/hlss/research/cpss/events/2009/20090307_facing_climate_changes.shtml__
_
<http://www.uwe.ac.uk/hlss/research/cpss/events/2009/20090307_facing_climate_changes.shtml>
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<title>Facing Climate Change - Conference</title>
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<title>Facing Climate Change - Conference</title>
<!-- Converted from text/rtf format --><span lang="en-gb"><font
face="Arial" size="2">Please forward to anyone you think might be
interested.</font></span>
<br>
<br>
<p dir="ltr" align="center"><span lang="en-gb">A reminder of the
forthcoming conference 7th March 2009, at University of Western England:</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" align="center"><span lang="en-gb"></span><span lang="en-gb"><b><font
size="4">The Psychological and Political Challenge of<br>
Facing Climate Change</font></b></span><span lang="en-gb"> </span></p>
<p dir="ltr"><span lang="en-gb">Speakers, workshops and presentations:<br>
<br>
George Marshall, Founder, Climate Outreach and Information Network,
author of “Carbon Detox”– Sleepwalking into Disaster – Strategies of
Evasion and Denial in Social Attitudes to Climate Change<br>
<br>
Paul Hoggett, Psychotherapist, SIP/Lincoln, Professor of Politics,
UWE, and Director of CPSS – The Politics and Emotions of Climate Change
Denial<br>
<br>
Mary-Jayne Rust -Jungian analyst, Ecopsychologist – The Myths by
Which We Live, or Die? – The Psychological Dimensions of Our
Environmental Crisis<br>
<br>
Conference Chairman: Adrian Tait, Member: Guild of Psychotherapists,
Transition activist<br>
<br>
There will also be six very interesting workshops and a carbon
footprint exercise available to attendees (see Programme and Themed
Groups links below)<br>
<br>
For full details here is the website link:<br>
</span><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.uwe.ac.uk/hlss/research/cpss/events/2009/20090307_facing_climate_changes.shtml"><span
lang="en-gb"><u><font color="#0000ff">www.uwe.ac.uk/hlss/research/cpss/events/2009/20090307_facing_climate_changes.shtml</font></u></span><span
lang="en-gb"><u><br>
</u></span></a></p>
<br>
</body>
</html>
--------------050302080207010209070906--
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Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2009 12:03:39 -0000
Reply-To: Marianne McKiggan <[log in to unmask]>
Sender: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum <[log in to unmask]>
From: Marianne McKiggan <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: Fw: Children in Ethiopia Have a Chance at Hope - Take Action
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----- Original Message -----=20
From: Robyn E., Care2 Action Alerts=20
To: [log in to unmask]
Sent: Friday, January 30, 2009 11:39 PM
Subject: Children in Ethiopia Have a Chance at Hope - Take Action
Care2 subscriber since Jun 8, 2007 Unsubscribe | Forward to a =
Friend | Take Action =20
Emergency Intervention is Saving Lives During =
Ethiopian Food Crisis=20
=20
Ask friends and family to join the fight >>=20
=20
Hi m,=20
A recent United Nations crop assessment found that at least =
six areas of eastern Ethiopia have seen a near total crop failure =
because of inadequate rainfall. The UN also announced that the =
country-wide drought is likely to continue well into 2009.=20
Despite this crushing news, there is hope for the children =
of Ethiopia! Help spread the word >>
Therapeutic feeding programs have been set up around =
Ethiopia. This approach has revolutionized the treatment of malnutrition =
in Ethiopia and is leading to a significant drop in mortality rates for =
malnourished children of all ages.=20
While we are headed in the right direction, there is still =
much work to be done to save the lives of these precious children. The =
number of Ethiopians in need of emergency food aid has jumped from 4.6 =
to nearly 6.5 million over the past five months, as rising food prices =
and drought compound the crisis.*=20
With all the food in the world, how can we continue to let =
others go without? The time to act is now! Help bring international =
attention to the plight of these children. Pledge to get the story out =
in your community today >>
=20
Truly,
Robyn E.
Care2 and ThePetitionSite Team =20
* Reported by Oxfam International=20
=20
=20
-------------------------------------------------------------------------=
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To stop receiving this newsletter, visit:=20
http://www.care2.com/newsletters/unsub/3/0/14004938/7c82d691=20
or send a blank email message to:
[log in to unmask]
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<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
[log in to unmask] =
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]">Robyn E.,=20
Care2 Action Alerts</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A [log in to unmask]
href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]">[log in to unmask]</A> =
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Friday, January 30, 2009 11:39 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Children in Ethiopia Have a Chance at Hope - Take=20
Action</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<TABLE=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 11px; WIDTH: 589px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, =
sans-serif; TEXT-ALIGN: left"=20
width=3D599>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD width=3D239>Care2 subscriber since Jun 8, 2007 </TD>
<TD width=3D338><A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; TEXT-DECORATION: none" =
=
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/newsletters/unsub/3/0/14004938/7c82d691">Uns=
ubscribe</A>=20
| <A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; TEXT-DECORATION: none" =
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10E/YR9b/_NFf">Forward to a =
Friend</A>=20
| <A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; TEXT-DECORATION: none" =
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf">Take Action=20
</A></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE style=3D"BACKGROUND-COLOR: #1b8abe" cellSpacing=3D10 =
cellPadding=3D0=20
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<TR>
<TD style=3D"BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff"><FONT=20
face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2><A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; TEXT-DECORATION: none" =
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf"><IMG=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 5px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 36px" =
height=3D65=20
alt=3D"Care2 Action Alert"=20
=
src=3D"http://dingo.care2.com/actionalerts/action-alert-masthead.gif"=20
width=3D517 border=3D0></A></FONT>
<DIV>
<TABLE style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 26px" cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D1 =
width=3D552>
<TBODY>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D552>
<TABLE align=3Dright border=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD width=3D205>
<DIV=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; FLOAT: =
right; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; MARGIN: 5px; WIDTH: 175px; PADDING-TOP: 5px; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ececec; TEXT-ALIGN: center">
<DIV style=3D"MARGIN: 5px; COLOR: #13301b">
<DIV align=3Dcenter><A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; =
TEXT-DECORATION: none"=20
=
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf"><FONT=20
face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" =
size=3D2><STRONG>Emergency=20
Intervention is Saving Lives During Ethiopian Food=20
Crisis</STRONG></FONT> </A></DIV></DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; =
PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; COLOR: #13301b; PADDING-TOP: 0px; TEXT-ALIGN: =
center">
<P align=3Dcenter><FONT style=3D"COLOR: #1b8abe"=20
face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2><A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; =
TEXT-DECORATION: none"=20
=
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf"><IMG=20
height=3D164 alt=3D"Help be a part of the solution."=20
=
src=3D"http://dingo.care2.com/c2p/Unicef/UNICEFmedinterv.jpg"=20
width=3D126 border=3D0> </A></FONT></P></DIV>
<DIV align=3Dcenter><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, =
sans-serif"=20
size=3D2><A style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: =
#1b8abe"=20
=
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf"><IMG=20
style=3D"MARGIN: 0px" height=3D25 alt=3D"Take action =
>>" hspace=3D14=20
=
src=3D"http://dingo.care2.com/actionalerts/takeaction.gif"=20
width=3D157 border=3D0></A></FONT><BR><BR><FONT=20
face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2><A=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: #1b8abe; =
TEXT-DECORATION: none"=20
=
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10E/YR9b/_NFf">Ask friends=20
and family to join the fight >>=20
=
</A><BR></FONT></DIV></DIV></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><FONT=20
face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2><BR>Hi =
m,</FONT>=20
<P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2>A =
recent United=20
Nations crop assessment found that at least six areas of =
eastern=20
Ethiopia have seen a near total crop failure because of =
inadequate=20
rainfall. The UN also announced that the country-wide =
drought is=20
likely to continue well into 2009. </FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" =
size=3D2>Despite this=20
crushing news, <STRONG><A style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: =
#1b8abe"=20
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf">there =
is hope for=20
the children of Ethiopia! Help spread the word=20
>></A></STRONG></FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" =
size=3D2>Therapeutic=20
feeding programs have been set up around Ethiopia. This =
approach has=20
revolutionized the treatment of malnutrition in Ethiopia and =
is=20
leading to a significant drop in mortality rates for =
malnourished=20
children of all ages. </FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" =
size=3D2><STRONG>While we=20
are headed in the right direction, there is still much work =
to be=20
done to save the lives of these precious children. =
</STRONG>The=20
number of Ethiopians in need of emergency food aid has =
jumped from=20
4.6 to nearly 6.5 million over the past five months, as =
rising food=20
prices and drought compound the crisis.* </FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2>With =
all the=20
food in the world, how can we continue to let others go =
without? The=20
time to act is now! <A style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; COLOR: =
#1b8abe"=20
href=3D"http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/AE10f/YR9b/_NFf">Help =
bring=20
international attention to the plight of these children. =
Pledge to=20
get the story out in your community today=20
>></A></FONT></P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, =
sans-serif"=20
size=3D2>
<TABLE style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12px" cellSpacing=3D0 =
cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D65><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, =
sans-serif"=20
size=3D2><IMG height=3D70 alt=3D"From Care2"=20
src=3D"http://dingo.care2.com/c2p/misc/Robyn70x56.jpg" =
width=3D56=20
border=3D1></FONT></TD>
<TD style=3D"PADDING-LEFT: 8px" width=3D210><BR><FONT=20
face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" =
size=3D2>Truly,<BR>Robyn=20
E.<BR>Care2 and ThePetitionSite Team</FONT>=20
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></FONT>
<P><FONT face=3D"Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size=3D2>* =
Reported by=20
Oxfam International=20
</FONT></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<DIV id=3Dngms_universal_footer><BR><BR>
<HR>
<FONT face=3D"Arial, Verdana, sans-serif" color=3D#666666 size=3D2>To =
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=========================================================================
Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2009 22:29:26 +0000
Reply-To: CHRIS KEENE <[log in to unmask]>
Sender: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum <[log in to unmask]>
From: CHRIS KEENE <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: [POSSIBLE SPAM] [Fwd: Warming Up to Immigrants: How the United
States Can Regain Leadership in Climate Policy]
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--------------060005060704080609010807
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I think the issue of climate refugees is an important one, and rarely=20
covered. On current form, we in the UK will probably call them bogus=20
asylum seekers and send them back to die, so it's interesting to see=20
another view from the US
Chris
-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Warming Up to Immigrants: How the United States Can Regain=20
Leadership in Climate Policy
Date: Fri, 30 Jan 2009 22:00:10 -0600
From: Sudhir Chella Rajan <[log in to unmask]>
Reply-To: Sudhir Chella Rajan <[log in to unmask]>
To: Climate Change Info Mailing List <[log in to unmask]>
Rather than be a cause for despair, the recurring stalemate in global cli=
mate negotiations presents the new Obama administration with an important=
opportunity to advance international agreements while giving the United =
States the moral high ground to persuade other countries to agree to emis=
sions controls. The U.S is uniquely placed to initiate a new global treat=
y that would give special rights to climate exiles, that is, those expect=
ed to lose their nation-states permanently because of sea level rise due =
to climate change. If accompanied by supporting programs for capacity dev=
elopment, such a treaty would continue to provide the U.S. a competitive =
edge by maintaining its relatively young and productive labor pool for se=
veral decades to come. At little or no cost, the country can thereby recl=
aim its leadership position in global climate negotiations.
The full paper elaborating these arguments is available at http://ssrn.co=
m/abstract=3D1000854
Dr. Sujatha Byravan
Advisor, Science Technology and Policy
[log in to unmask]
Dr. Sudhir Chella Rajan
Professor, IIT Madras
[log in to unmask]
- You are currently subscribed to climate-l as: [log in to unmask]
- Go to your membership options: https://lists.iisd.ca/read/?forum=3Dclim=
ate-l
- To unsubscribe visit: https://lists.iisd.ca/u?id=3D363727.845a7b2151c6b=
d28babf4f323ebe2323&n=3DT&l=3Dclimate-l&o=3D854239
- http://www.climate-l.org - A knowledgebase of International Climate Cha=
nge Activities, provided by IISD in cooperation with the United Nations S=
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<html>
<head>
</head>
<body bgcolor=3D"#ffffff" text=3D"#000000">
I think the issue of climate refugees is an important one, and rarely
covered.=C2=A0 On current form, we in the UK will probably call them bogu=
s
asylum seekers and send them back to die, so it's interesting to see
another view from the US<br>
<br>
Chris<br>
<br>
-------- Original Message --------
<table border=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th align=3D"right" nowrap=3D"nowrap" valign=3D"baseline">Subject: =
</th>
<td>Warming Up to Immigrants: How the United States Can Regain
Leadership in Climate Policy</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align=3D"right" nowrap=3D"nowrap" valign=3D"baseline">Date: </t=
h>
<td>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 22:00:10 -0600</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align=3D"right" nowrap=3D"nowrap" valign=3D"baseline">From: </t=
h>
<td>Sudhir Chella Rajan <a class=3D"moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href=3D"=
mailto:[log in to unmask]"><[log in to unmask]></a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align=3D"right" nowrap=3D"nowrap" valign=3D"baseline">Reply-To:=
</th>
<td>Sudhir Chella Rajan <a class=3D"moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href=3D"=
mailto:[log in to unmask]"><[log in to unmask]></a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align=3D"right" nowrap=3D"nowrap" valign=3D"baseline">To: </th>
<td>Climate Change Info Mailing List
<a class=3D"moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]
"><[log in to unmask]></a></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<br>
<br>
<pre>Rather than be a cause for despair, the recurring stalemate in globa=
l climate negotiations presents the new Obama administration with an impo=
rtant opportunity to advance international agreements while giving the Un=
ited States the moral high ground to persuade other countries to agree to=
emissions controls. The U.S is uniquely placed to initiate a new global =
treaty that would give special rights to climate exiles, that is, those e=
xpected to lose their nation-states permanently because of sea level rise=
due to climate change. If accompanied by supporting programs for capacit=
y development, such a treaty would continue to provide the U.S. a competi=
tive edge by maintaining its relatively young and productive labor pool f=
or several decades to come. At little or no cost, the country can thereby=
reclaim its leadership position in global climate negotiations.
The full paper elaborating these arguments is available at <a class=3D"mo=
z-txt-link-freetext" href=3D"http://ssrn.com/abstract=3D1000854">http://s=
srn.com/abstract=3D1000854</a>
Dr. Sujatha Byravan
Advisor, Science Technology and Policy
<a class=3D"moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]">=
[log in to unmask]</a>
Dr. Sudhir Chella Rajan
Professor, IIT Madras
<a class=3D"moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]">=
[log in to unmask]</a>
- You are currently subscribed to climate-l as: <a class=3D"moz-txt-link-=
abbreviated" href=3D"mailto:[log in to unmask]">chris.keene@tiscal=
i.co.uk</a>
- Go to your membership options: <a class=3D"moz-txt-link-freetext" href=3D=
"https://lists.iisd.ca/read/?forum=3Dclimate-l">https://lists.iisd.ca/rea=
d/?forum=3Dclimate-l</a>
- To unsubscribe visit: <a class=3D"moz-txt-link-freetext" href=3D"https:=
//lists.iisd.ca/u?id=3D363727.845a7b2151c6bd28babf4f323ebe2323&n=3DT&l=3D=
climate-l&o=3D854239">https://lists.iisd.ca/u?id=3D363727.845a7b2151c6bd2=
8babf4f323ebe2323&n=3DT&l=3Dclimate-l&o=3D854239</a>
- <a class=3D"moz-txt-link-freetext" href=3D"http://www.climate-l.org">ht=
tp://www.climate-l.org</a> - A knowledgebase of International Climate Cha=
nge Activities, provided by IISD in cooperation with the United Nations S=
ystem Chief Executives Board for Coordination (CEB) Secretariat
- Subscribe to IISD Reporting Services' free newsletters and lists for en=
vironment and sustainable development policy professionals at <a class=3D=
"moz-txt-link-freetext" href=3D"http://www.iisd.ca/email/subscribe.htm">h=
ttp://www.iisd.ca/email/subscribe.htm</a>
</pre>
<br>
<pre class=3D"moz-signature" cols=3D"72">--=20
=C3=90=C3=8F=11=C3=A0=C2=A1=C2=B1=1A=C3=A1</pre>
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