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Subject: NN3 Forecasting Competition
Date: Wed, 25 Oct 2006 01:42:02 +0100
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The 2006-2007 Forecasting competition for Neural Networks and
Computational Intelligence Methods has started!

Objectives
Forecast a set of 11 or 111 time series as accurately as possible, using
methods from computational intelligence and a consistent methodology. We
hope to evaluate progress in modelling neural networks for forecasting &
to disseminate knowledge on "best practices". The competition is for
academic purposes and supported by a grant from SAS & the International
Institute of Forecasters (IIF).=20

Methods
The prediction competition is open to all methods of computational
intelligence, incl. feed-forward and recurrent neural networks, fuzzy
predictors, decision & regression tress, support vector regression,
hybrid approaches etc. used in financial forecasting, statistical
prediction, time series analysis

Publication of Results
The results will be presented at various conferences
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/conferences.=
h
tm>  in 2007. All those submitting predictions will be invited to
participate in Events at ISF'07
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/isf07_worksh=
o
p.htm> , New York, IJCNN'07
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/ijcnn07_work=
s
hop.htm> , Orlando (pending), DMIN'07
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/dmin07_works=
h
op.htm> , Las Vegas (pending) and LUMS'07, Manchester, and submit papers
to those special sessions. All submissions will invited for a full
publication
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/publications=
.
htm>  in an edited book "Advances of Neural Forecasting", Springer (ISI
SCI, DBLP etc. indexed), subject to acceptance (pending). The most
successful authors will be invited for a joint submission to the highly
acclaimed International Journal of Forecasting (ISI SCI, DBLP etc.
indexed).=20

Dates & deadlines


20 October 2006=20

Publication of reduced & complete dataset


May 2007

Predictions submissions due


June & July 2007

publication of preliminary results at various conferences in USA, UK etc


August 2007=20

submissions to full publications

Please visit the
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/> NN3 =
website
at
<http:[log in to unmask]&msg=3DB760019=
4.2
DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@neural-forecas
ting.com&url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/>
http://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/ for further instructions.

GOOD LUCK!

Sven F. Crone & Konstantinos Nikolopoulos

_____________________________________________________

Sven F. Crone
Deputy Director, Lancaster Centre for Forecasting=20
Lecturer (Ass. Prof.), Department of Management Science

Lancaster University Management School=20
Lancaster LA1 4YX
United Kingdom

Tel +44 (0)1524 592991direct
Tel +44 (0)1524 593867 department
Fax +44 (0)1524 844885

Internet http://www.lums.lancs.ac.uk=20
eMail    [log in to unmask]
_______________________________________________

=20

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<div class=3DSection1>

<p><font size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span style=3D'font-size:8.5pt'><img =
width=3D860
height=3D116 id=3D"_x0000_i1025" src=3D"cid:hope_encode_maker@0000" =
border=3D0><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>The
2006-2007 Forecasting competition for Neural Networks and Computational
Intelligence Methods has started!</span></font><span =
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><b><font size=3D2 color=3D"#ff9900" face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;color:#FF9900;font-weight:bold'>Objectives</spa=
n></font></b><span
lang=3DEN-GB><br>
</span><font size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>Forecast a set of
11 or 111 time series as accurately as possible, using methods from
computational intelligence and a consistent methodology. We hope to =
evaluate
progress in modelling neural networks for forecasting &amp; to =
disseminate
knowledge on &#8220;best practices&#8221;. The competition is for =
academic
purposes and supported by a grant from SAS &amp; the International =
Institute of
Forecasters (IIF). </span></font><span =
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><b><font size=3D2 color=3D"#ff9900" face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;color:#FF9900;font-weight:bold'>Methods</span><=
/font></b><span
lang=3DEN-GB><br>
</span><font size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>The =
prediction
competition is open to all methods of computational intelligence, incl.
feed-forward and recurrent neural networks, fuzzy predictors, decision =
&amp;
regression tress, support vector regression, hybrid approaches etc. used =
in
financial forecasting, statistical prediction, time series =
analysis</span></font><span
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><b><font size=3D2 color=3D"#ff9900" face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;color:#FF9900;font-weight:bold'>Publication of =
Results<br>
</span></font></b><font size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>The
results will be presented at various <a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/conferences.htm">conferences</a>
in 2007. All those submitting predictions will be invited to participate =
in
Events at <a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/isf07_workshop.htm">ISF'07</a>,
New York, <a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/ijcnn07_workshop.htm">IJCNN'07</a>,
Orlando (pending), <a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/dmin07_workshop.htm">DMIN'07</a>,
Las Vegas (pending) and LUMS'07, Manchester, and submit papers to those =
special
sessions. All submissions will invited for a full <a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/publications.htm">publication</a>
in an edited book &#8220;Advances of Neural Forecasting&#8221;, Springer =
(ISI
SCI, DBLP etc. indexed), subject to acceptance (pending). The most =
successful
authors will be invited for a joint submission to the highly acclaimed
International Journal of Forecasting (ISI SCI, DBLP etc. indexed). =
</span></font><span
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p style=3D'margin-bottom:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt'><b><font size=3D2
color=3D"#ff9900" face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;
color:#FF9900;font-weight:bold'>Dates &amp; =
deadlines</span></font></b><o:p></o:p></p>

<table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D1 cellpadding=3D0 width=3D"100%"
 style=3D'width:100.0%' id=3Dtable2>
 <tr>
  <td width=3D152 bgcolor=3Dsilver style=3D'width:114.0pt;border:outset =
white 1.0pt;
  background:silver;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt 3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>20 October 2006 =
</span></font><font
  size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
  <td style=3D'border:outset white 1.0pt;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt =
3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>Publication of reduced =
&amp;
  complete dataset</span></font><font size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
lang=3DEN-GB
  =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
  <td width=3D152 bgcolor=3Dsilver style=3D'width:114.0pt;border:outset =
white 1.0pt;
  background:silver;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt 3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>May =
2007</span></font><font
  size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
  <td style=3D'border:outset white 1.0pt;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt =
3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>Predictions submissions =
due</span></font><font
  size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
  <td width=3D152 bgcolor=3Dsilver style=3D'width:114.0pt;border:outset =
white 1.0pt;
  background:silver;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt 3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>June &amp; July =
2007</span></font><font
  size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
  <td style=3D'border:outset white 1.0pt;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt =
3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>publication of =
preliminary
  results at various conferences in USA, UK etc</span></font><font =
size=3D1
  face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
  <td width=3D152 bgcolor=3Dsilver style=3D'width:114.0pt;border:outset =
white 1.0pt;
  background:silver;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt 3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>August 2007 =
</span></font><font
  size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
  <td style=3D'border:outset white 1.0pt;padding:.75pt 3.0pt .75pt =
3.0pt'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana'>submissions to full =
publications</span></font><font
  size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Verdana'><o:p></o:p></span></font></=
p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>Please
visit the </span></font><a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/"><font
size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>NN3 =
website</span></font></a><font
size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'> at =
</span></font><a
href=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;ms=
g=3DB7600194.2DA9.4988.8BA9.9C8AF3D30AC6.0000.20061023.BTKMRQRUWUHRTTUJ@n=
eural-forecasting.com&amp;url=3Dhttp://www.neural-forecasting-competition=
.com/"><font
size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>http://www.neural-forecasting-competition.com/=
</span></font></a><font
size=3D2><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>&nbsp;for further =
instructions.</span></font><span
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>GOOD
LUCK!</span></font><span lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p><font size=3D2 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DEN-GB =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'>Sven F.
Crone &amp; Konstantinos Nikolopoulos</span></font><span =
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p style=3D'margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3D2 face=3D"Times New =
Roman"><span
lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>_____________________________________________________</span></fon=
t><span
lang=3DEN-GB><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p style=3D'margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3D2 face=3D"Times New =
Roman"><span
lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>Sven F. Crone<br>
Deputy Director, Lancaster Centre for Forecasting <br>
Lecturer (Ass. Prof.), Department of Management =
Science<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p style=3D'margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3D2 face=3D"Times New =
Roman"><span
lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>Lancaster
University Management School <br>
Lancaster LA1 4YX<br>
United Kingdom<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p style=3D'margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3D2 face=3D"Times New =
Roman"><span
lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>Tel +44
(0)1524 592991direct<br>
Tel +44 (0)1524 593867 department<br>
Fax +44 (0)1524 844885<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p style=3D'margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3D2 face=3D"Times New =
Roman"><span
lang=3DFR style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>Internet
http://www.lums.lancs.ac.uk <br>
eMail&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; [log in to unmask]<br>
</span></font><font size=3D3 face=3D"Times New Roman"><span lang=3DFR
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>_______________________________________________</span></font><fon=
t
size=3D2 face=3D"Times New Roman"><span lang=3DFR =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman"'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p><font size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span lang=3DFR =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D1 face=3DVerdana><span =
style=3D'font-size:8.5pt;
font-family:Verdana'><img border=3D0 width=3D1 height=3D1 =
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src=3D"http:[log in to unmask]&amp;msg=
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