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INTELLIGENCE
ISSN 1245-2122
N.
485, 2 October 2006
Every
Two to Three Weeks
Next
issue, 23 October 2006
Publishing
since 1980
Editor
Olivier
Schmidt
http://perso.wanadoo.fr/intelligence-adi)
A
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TABLE
OF CONTENTS, N. 485, 2 October 2006
FRONT
PAGE
TECHNOLOGY
& TECHINQUES
TIMELINE
FROM 15 SEPTEMBER TO 29 SEPTEMBER p.2
ISRAELIS
EXPORTING BORDER SECURITY EXPERTISE p.3
TINKERING
DIEBOLD, TERRORISTS & PRIVACY p.4
PEOPLE
AGENDA
COMING
EVENTS THROUGH 15 DECEMBER 2006 p.8
INTELLIGENCE
AROUND THE WORLD
- NIE ON GLOBAL TERRORISM BECOMES POLITICAL p.10
- PROBLEMS FOR "RUMMY", DOD BUDGET & OTHER NEWS p.11
- CIA OUTSOURCING & OTHER NEWS p.12
- FBI "INTELLIGENCE SHARING" & OTHER NEWS p.13
- PRIORITY ARMS SALES TARGETS p.15
WESTERN
EUROPE -
-
- BUSH & BLAIR'S "MUTUAL CONVENIENCE" p.24
- FROM CIVIL WAR TO SPLIT UP OF THE COUNTRY p.25
MIDDLE
EAST - Al-Qaida, the Pope & Turkey. p.27
ASIA
-
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence,
N. 485, 2 October 2006, p. 1
ISRAEL
MILITARY
& "TECH FIX" FAILURES IN
The
major media has traditionally avoided covering the failures
of
Israeli military and intelligence (see
but
this summer's invasions of the Gaza Strip and
to
have changed that worldwide attitude. Now one can read that
"Despite
directly targeting Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasarallah
and
the organization's Al-Manar TV network with bombs and
electronic
warfare,
Shiite
cleric from reaching his audience regularly" (0828
Defense
Opall-Rome).
The same article also uses the phrase "an
unsuccessful
five-week campaign to roust the Islamist group
from
southern
Even
Technology
& Techniques below) took a serious hit. Hezbollah
was
reportedly able to conduct effective electronic
intelligence
gathering against the Israeli military's single
channel
ground-air system (SINCGARS) tactical radios. The
intelligence
apparently allowed Hezbollah to respond
unexpectedly
quickly to Israeli moves. Also, Israeli forces
found
sophisticated eavesdropping and jamming equipment in some
Hezbollah
positions they overran (0918 Newsday, Mohamad Bazzi
and
Aita Shaab).
One
can also read that
enabled
the Israelis to avoid costly targeting missteps, or to
suppress
the Hezbollah rocket threat or pinpoint the
adversary's
weapons supplier" (0807 Aviation Week, Harsh
Trajectories
-
arsenal,
but larger and more destructive threats loom, Robert
Wall,
David A. Fulghum and Douglas Barrie).
There
are even admissions that the Israeli military "tech fix"
strategy
has reached its limits: "Despite intensive efforts
over
the past five years to locate and destroy terrorist
tunnels,
border
attack has fueled ambivalence here over the prospects of
ever
achieving an effective defense against burrowing threats.
...
The surprise [25 June Hamas] attack from the rear cost the
lives
of two IDF soldiers; another was taken captive and
inestimable
damage was done to Israeli deterrence and morale"
(0710
Defense
Barbara
Opall-Rome).
(...cut...)
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence,
N. 485, 2 October 2006, p. 2
TIMELINE
FROM 15 SEPTEMBER TO 29 SEPTEMBER
In
our preceding issue, we mentioned that "the Israeli invasion
of
from
the headlines which have returned to the 'major ongoing
developments'
and continue to include: 'Bush White House
policies
concerning torture, kidnapping and secret detention
...
[which have] resulted in some changes'; 'Pentagon problems
with
cases to murder and rape in
continued
to gain prominence in the
legal
cases'; and 'open resistance by members of the military
to
Bush White House's war in
level
where it can no longer be ignored by the major press'."
The
first and the third topics continue to be major news
subjects.
We
also mentioned the "astonishing collection of false reports
--
or should one say 'lies' -- put out by the Bush White House
and
allies ... [including] ABC's ideological fiction titled
'The
Path to 9/11', the Senate Intelligence Committee report on
the
Bush White House's distortion of intelligence to push for
an
invasion of
misleading
and incorrect report on
hiring
by the 'Washington Post' of pro-Bush, pro-war right-wing
columnist
Michael Gerson who has 'gotten it wrong' several
times."
There has been a serious decline in "false reports" as
the
Bush White House got down to "real business": countering
the
new classified US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)
which
states that the
terrorism,
and passing the bills authorizing torture and
indefinite
secret imprisonment of any person the
wants.
Such bills were recently passed by the GOP-dominated
House
of Representatives and Senate.
But
neither of these two topics is the subject of our Front
Page
article which brings together a lot of the specialized
information
now being made available on the Israeli invasion of
fighting
the Hezbollah. And, as usual, the Israeli press has
furnished
some of the most critical information, such as Amir
Oren's
18 September report in "Ha'aretz" confirming that an
inquiry
by Brig. Gen. Avi Ashkenazi found that Israeli military
intelligence
(Agaf ha-Modi'in or Aman) had solid intelligence
on
the planned capture of Israeli soldiers by Hezbollah some
time
before Eldad Regev and Ehud Goldwasser were taken prisoner
on
12 June.
(...cut...)
---------------------------------------------
AGENDA
Intelligence,
N. 485, 2 October 2006, p. 8
COMING
EVENTS THROUGH 15 DECEMBER 2006
2-5
October,
Symposium.
2-5
October,
obscurants2006.com.
3-5
October,
3-7
October,
Defendory
International, defendoryinternational.gr.
4-5
October,
Conference.
5
October, Chicago, Pritzker Military Library, Thomas Ricks
discusses
his new book, "Fiasco - The American Military
Adventure
in
will
be held at 17h00 and the program will begin at 18h00.
Email
[log in to unmask] or Web
pritzkermilitarylibrary.org/events/2006-10-05-thomasRicks.jsp.
4-6
October,
Warfare
Conference.
4-7
October,
Management
Association 17th Annual Conference, Triple
Convergence
- Information, Innovation, Technology, iima.org/.
9-11
October,
2006,
ausa.org.
17-18
October,
Industry
Association Seminar, [log in to unmask]
17-19
October,
Symposium,
precisionstrike.org.
17-19
October,
Center
Conference 2006, The Exploitation of Unmanned Aerospace
Capabilities,
japcc.de.
18-20
October,
Professionals,
IAPP Privacy Academy 2006,
privacyassociation.org.
18-22
October,
20-21
October,
University
and the Center for the Study of Intelligence (CSI)
will
co-host a conference on Intelligence in the Vietnam War,
[log in to unmask]
or vietnam.ttu.edu/vietnamcenter/events/.
20
October-1 November,
Security,
and Trust (PST 2006), businessandit.uoit.ca/pst2006/.
22-25
October,
Conference
for Science & Business Information, infonortics.com.
23-26
October,
Expeditionary
Warfare Conference, ndia.org.
23-27
October,
24
October,
24-27
October,
Military
Operations (HELIMOT) Specialists' Meeting XII.
28
October, in
annual
meeting with lecture speaker Tom Ricks, author of
"Fiasco:
The American Military Adventure in
30
October-1 November,
Annual
Targets, UAVs & Range Operations meeting, ndia.org.
30
October-2 November,
Forum
(IGF), igfgreece2006.gr/.
31 October-5
November,
airshow.com.cn.
1
November, deadline for papers for 22-23 August 2007 First
Biennial
Conference of Air Power Studies, Air Power, Insurgency
and
the "War on Terror", at
1-2
November,
Integration
Conference, [log in to unmask]
2-3
November,
Privacy
Commissioners' Conference,
privacyconference2006.co.uk/.
5-8
November, Washington, Association of Old Cross, AOC 2006.
5-9
November, Nellis Air Force Base,
Geospatial-Intelligence
Agency, First Combined NSG Systems
User's
Conference.
11-12
November, Nellis Air Force Base,
-
14-16
November,
School,
AIAA Missile Sciences Conference,
aiaa.org/events/missilesciences.
27-30
November,
asc2006.com.
11-15
December,
Security
Applications Conference (ACSAC 2006),
http://www.acsac.org.
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence,
N. 485, 2 October 2006, p. 9
CONGRESS-APPROVED
TORTURE & SECRET DETENTION
On
6 September, President George W. Bush admitted that the
prisons
in foreign countries. He also announced that 14 persons
held
in these secret jails had been transferred to
Bush
claimed that no other individuals were currently being
held
at CIA "black sites" but refused to disclose the location
of
said jails.
Bush
didn't act willingly, according to the "Financial Times"
(0920,
CIA "Refused to Operate" Secret Jails, Guy Dinmore):
"The
Bush administration had to empty its secret prisons and
transfer
terror suspects to the military-run detention centre
at
refused
to carry out further interrogations and run the secret
facilities,
according to former CIA officials and people close
to
the programme. The former officials said the CIA
interrogators'
refusal was a factor in forcing the Bush
administration
to act earlier than it might have wished." In
short,
the CIA, in "covering its ass", obliged Bush to act.
On
14 September, Bush made an unaccustomed trip to the Hill to
seek
legislative permission for the CIA to make people
disappear
into secret prisons and have information extracted
from
them by means he dare not describe publicly but including
"water-boarding",
a well-known traditional method of torture.
(...cut...)
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence,
N. 485, 2 October 2006, p. 14
AIRCRAFT
BOMB PLOT DEFLATES
The
security
measures at British airports in the second week of
August,
has been denounced by a former senior British
intelligence
officer, Nigel Wylde, as comprising a "pattern of
lies
and deceit". 22 British Moslems have been charged with a
variety
of alleged offenses under
terrorism
legislation. The supposed plan involved the mixing of
household
chemicals to create an explosive to be detonated with
a
small, commercially available electronic device.
(...cut...)
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence,
N. 485, 2 October 2006, p. 20
"FALSE
FLAG" MOSSAD OPERATION FAILURES
On
at least two occasion since the 11 September 2001 attacks in
service,
the Mossad, has tried and failed to carry out "false
flag"
terrorist operations in Central and
(...cut...)
---------------------------------------------
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