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I hope that John Whittington hangs on to his 'lack of education' in
economics.  Economists have never really got to grip with the functioning of
the labour market.  And that perhaps explains why the discussion on this
list about productivity has been so confused and confusing.

Traditionally economics has been defined as the study of the allocation
of scarce resources, so economists have always had a bit of difficulty in
dealing with the existence of unemployment.   If a resource is not scarce it
does not really fall within the subject matter of economics. It took what is
usually called the Keynesian revolution to persuade economists that letting
markets rip did not solve unemployment problems.

The economist faith in market forces effectiveness in the labour market is
still strong.   In recent decades economists have identified long-term
unemployment as the main problem. They believed that the scale of long-term
unemployment should have reduced the level of wages and have blamed the
benefits system for encouraging people to remain unemployed.   These beliefs
are not consistent with the statistical evidence.

Please do not read into this an attack on the 'new deal' and the welfare
to work programme.   These kinds of measures are best seen as part of what
John Longsdon gallantly calls 'management and investment'.    But, to go
back to the starting point of the discussion, economists' difficulty in
dealing with the labour market does help explain why they don't see any
clear connections between increasing productivity and unemployment.

Ray Thomas
35 Passmore, Tinkers Bridge, Milton Keynes MK6 3DY
Email: [log in to unmask]
Tel/Fax 01908 679081
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