Greetings, and apologies for cross-posting. If you would please make the following announcement known to any of your colleagues, students, etc., who may be interested, that would be terrific. Many thanks and best wishes, David Draper 2004 American Statistical Association LearnSTAT Program Offering: Title: Intermediate/Advanced Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Date: 26 March 2004 Instructor: David Draper Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics University of California, Santa Cruz Summary: An award-winning short course on intermediate- and advanced-level methods and applications of Bayesian hierarchical modeling, including (a) reviews of Bayesian modeling, Bayesian computation, and hierarchical models (HMs) for meta-analysis, and (b) coverage of (1) Bayesian model diagnostics, model checking, and model elaboration; (2) mixture modeling with latent variables; (3) HMs for clustered (hierarchical, multilevel) data; and (4) semi-parametric HMs for dealing realistically with model uncertainty. Case studies drawn from medicine, education, and environmental risk assessment. One-day course: 6 hours of material covered in an 8-hour time slot, with 30 minutes of breaks in each of the morning and afternoon sessions and a one-hour break for lunch Location: Arlington Campus Professional Center George Mason University 3401 North Fairfax Drive Arlington, Virginia (Near Washington, DC) Registration Fee: $500 for ASA members $600 for nonmembers (Registration fee includes 225 pages of materials, lunch, and refreshments for AM and PM breaks) Registration Deadline: March 5, 2004 Register Online at: www.amstat.org/education Abstract: This course provides coverage of intermediate- and advanced-level topics arising in the formulation, fitting, and checking of hierarchical or multilevel models from the Bayesian point of view. The Bayesian approach is particularly effective in fitting hierarchical models because other model-based methods -- principally involving maximum likelihood -- often do not capture all relevant sources of uncertainty, leading to over-confident decisions and scientific conclusions. The basic principles of Bayesian hierarchical modeling are reviewed in this course with emphasis on practical rather than theoretical issues. Intermediate- and advanced-level ideas are illustrated with real data drawn from case studies involving complicated applications of hierarchical models in cluster sampling and mixture modeling. The course is intended for applied statisticians with an interest in learning more about intermediate and advanced topics in hierarchical modeling in general, and the Bayesian analysis of such models in particular. Instructor: David Draper is a Professor in, and Chair of, the Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics in the Baskin School of Engineering at the University of California, Santa Cruz. From 2001 to 2003 he served as the President-Elect, President, and Past President of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA). His research is in the areas of Bayesian inference and prediction, model uncertainty and empirical model-building, hierarchical modeling, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, and Bayesian semi-parametric methods, with applications mainly in health policy, education, and environmental risk assessment. When he gave this same short course at the San Francisco JSM last year, it won the ASA Excellence in Continuing Education award for 2003. He has received or been nominated for major teaching awards everywhere he has taught (University of Chicago; RAND Graduate School of Public Policy; University of California, Los Angeles; University of Bath (U.K.); and University of California, Santa Cruz). He has a particular interest in the exposition of complex statistical methods and ideas in the context of real-world applications. For more information and to register for this course, visit the Education section of the ASA Web site at www.amstat.org/education and click on the link for this course. Questions? email [log in to unmask] or call (703) 684-1221 ext. 166. ========================================================================= Professor David Draper Chair, Department of Applied Mathematics email [log in to unmask] and Statistics web http://www.ams.ucsc.edu/~draper/ Baskin School of phone (+1) (831) 459 1295 Engineering fax (+1) (831) 459 4829 University of California 1156 High Street departmental web pages www.ams.ucsc.edu Santa Cruz CA 95064 USA Interesting quotes, number 24 in a series: The end is in the beginning; and yet you go on. -- Samuel Beckett ========================================================================= ------------------------------------------------------------------- This list is for discussion of modelling issues and the BUGS software. For help with crashes and error messages, first mail [log in to unmask] To mail the BUGS list, mail to [log in to unmask] Before mailing, please check the archive at www.jiscmail.ac.uk/lists/bugs.html Please do not mail attachments to the list. To leave the BUGS list, send LEAVE BUGS to [log in to unmask] If this fails, mail [log in to unmask], NOT the whole list